Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:52:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1C
0x1c55…84ce
sports · 1115 markets active 6h ago
0.0score
−$3,130 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,120 · open −$10
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$25
Realized−$3,120
Unrealized−$10
Win rate (resolved)35%
Wins / losses471 / 885
Est. fees paid−$6
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1356 / 1115
History coverage109d
Avg bet$36
Trades / day25.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 2 History 1356 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4,563
7 days−$4,563
14 days−$4,563
30 days−$4,563
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: ZennIT vs The Bandits (BO3) - Road Of Legends Tier 1 Group The Bandits 71¢ 50¢ $36 $25 −$11 (-30%)
Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-2.5) FK Bodø/Glimt 12¢ 50¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+312%)
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Team Liquid 32¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs los kogutos (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #16 Group Stage ARCRED 43¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: ex-KRÜ Esports vs paiN Academy (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage ex-KRÜ Esports 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Team WE 25¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Valorant: Oasis Gaming vs Sharper Esport (BO3) - VCL Southeast Asia: Group D Oasis Gaming 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will ASM Clermont Auvergne win? Yes 36¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs K27 (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs Team Nemesis 8¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Rostikfacekid vs Team Stariy_Bog (BO3) - Winline Star Series Group A Team Stariy_Bog 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOS (BO1) Fluxo W7M 44¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-In paiN 53¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Modena FC 2018 vs. Cesena FC: O/U 2.5 Over 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs Infinite (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs Infinite 20¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-03-04? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
LoL: S2G Esports vs PCIFIC (BO3) - TCL Playoffs PCIFIC 8¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
LoL: Solary vs BK ROG Esports (BO1) - LFL Invitational Souper Group BK ROG Esports 37¢ 0¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: NRG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-In B8 65¢ 0¢ $65 $0 −$65 (-100%)
LoL: Yang Yang Gaming vs FENNEL (BO1) - LJL Stage 1 Group A Yang Yang Gaming 6¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO5) - First Stand Group B LYON 3¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BIG vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #18 Playoffs CYBERSHOKE Esports 11¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
AS Roma vs. Bologna FC 1909: Draw at halftime? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
LoL: Cães de Água vs Vantex Esports (BO1) - LPLOL Group C Cães de Água 20¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Valorant: CTRL Esports vs UNIWAY (BO3) - VCL NORTH//EAST Group B UNIWAY 30¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Call of Duty: Riyadh Falcons vs Los Angeles Thieves (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 2 Major Qualifiers Qualifiers Los Angeles Thieves 60¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs los kogutos (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #16 Gr Jun 12 $27 −$27 -100%
Will ASM Clermont Auvergne win? Jun 12 $36 −$36 -100%
Dota 2: Team Rostikfacekid vs Team Stariy_Bog (BO3) - Winline Star Ser Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOS (BO1) Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-In Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
LoL: S2G Esports vs PCIFIC (BO3) - TCL Playoffs Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
LoL: Solary vs BK ROG Esports (BO1) - LFL Invitational Souper Group Jun 12 $37 −$37 -100%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-In Jun 12 $65 −$65 -100%
LoL: Yang Yang Gaming vs FENNEL (BO1) - LJL Stage 1 Group A Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
LoL: Cães de Água vs Vantex Esports (BO1) - LPLOL Group C Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Valorant: CTRL Esports vs UNIWAY (BO3) - VCL NORTH//EAST Group B Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
LoL: GAM Esports vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffs Jun 12 $77 −$77 -100%
Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs RED Canids Academy (BO3) - Gamers Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Ursa (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qual Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Counter-Strike: FengDa Gaming vs Eruption (BO3) - Zhi-Tech Elite Maste Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs megoshort (BO1) Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
LoL: Arctic Pandas vs Bulldog Esports (BO1) - NLC Regular Season Jun 12 $59 −$59 -100%
Valorant: Enterprise Esports vs VR2 (BO3) - VCL NORTH//EAST Group A Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Valorant: OXEN vs Farenvehn (BO3) - VCL Latin America South Group Stag Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs 1win (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Eastern Europe Cl Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Falcons (BO2) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Gro Jun 12 $53 −$53 -100%
Valorant: Barça eSports GC vs Joblife GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EME Jun 12 $31 −$31 -100%
LoL: Colossal Gaming vs HMBLE (BO5) - LIT Playoffs Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs Game Hunters (BO3) - CCT South America Series Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Jun 12 $60 −$60 -100%
Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - FiReCONTER Gro Jun 12 $37 −$37 -100%
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs Team Envy (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playof Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Dota 2: Team Recrent vs Team 9pasha (BO3) - Winline Star Series Group Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: Bad Luck vs Game Hunters (BO3) - CCT South America Ser Jun 12 $34 −$34 -100%
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Play Jun 12 $29 −$29 -100%
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Jun 12 $69 −$69 -100%
Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT China Kickoff Play Jun 12 $31 −$31 -100%
Dota 2: Team 9pasha vs Team VooDooSh (BO3) - Winline Star Series Group Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Counter-Strike: BOSS vs MASONIC (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Valorant: NRG vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffs Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group A Jun 12 $43 −$43 -100%
Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs ODDIK (BO3) - ESL Challenger Leagu Jun 12 $27 −$27 -100%
Valorant: Gamax Esports vs Team RA'AD (BO3) - VCL MENA: Resilience Kic Jun 12 $54 −$54 -100%
Counter-Strike: 33 vs JUMBO TEAM (BO3) - Exort Cataclysm Group D Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs ROSSMANN Centaurs (BO1) - Prime League 1st D Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: Deer Gaming vs Bulldog Esports (BO1) Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Counter-Strike: SINQU vs STATE (BO1) - United21 x Esplay Challenge Gro Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Call of Duty: OpTic Texas vs G2 Minnesota (BO5) - Call of Duty League Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Counter-Strike: SINQU vs Sidequest (BO1) - United21 x Esplay Challenge Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: magic vs MINLATE (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #14 Group S Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Counter-Strike: mouse vs F5 Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: American Open Jun 12 $46 −$46 -100%
Valorant: VillianArc vs Fraggerz (BO3) Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs 3DMAX (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-In Jun 12 $55 −$55 -100%
Valorant: GIANTX GC vs Twisted Minds Orchid (BO3) - VCT Game Changers Jun 12 $33 −$33 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 99% +$1,441
other 1% −$15
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs SELL XLG Gaming 17¢ $30 6h
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B SELL Forsaken 15¢ $26 6h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs BUY XLG Gaming 18¢ $2 6h
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B BUY Forsaken 16¢ $2 6h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs BUY XLG Gaming 18¢ $2 6h
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B BUY Forsaken 16¢ $2 6h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs BUY XLG Gaming 18¢ $2 6h
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B BUY Forsaken 16¢ $2 6h
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B BUY Forsaken 16¢ $2 6h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs BUY XLG Gaming 18¢ $2 6h
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B BUY Forsaken 16¢ $2 6h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs BUY XLG Gaming 18¢ $2 6h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs BUY XLG Gaming 18¢ $2 6h
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B BUY Forsaken 16¢ $2 6h
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B BUY Forsaken 16¢ $2 6h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs BUY XLG Gaming 18¢ $2 6h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs BUY XLG Gaming 18¢ $2 6h
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B BUY Forsaken 16¢ $2 6h
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B BUY Forsaken 16¢ $2 6h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs BUY XLG Gaming 18¢ $2 6h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs BUY XLG Gaming 18¢ $2 6h
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B BUY Forsaken 16¢ $2 6h
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B BUY Forsaken 16¢ $2 6h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs BUY XLG Gaming 18¢ $2 6h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs BUY XLG Gaming 18¢ $2 6h
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B BUY Forsaken 16¢ $2 6h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs BUY XLG Gaming 18¢ $2 6h
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B BUY Forsaken 16¢ $2 6h
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B BUY Forsaken 16¢ $2 6h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs BUY XLG Gaming 18¢ $2 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-18.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 244 -99.3% -99.3% 0% 0% -98.9%
≤30d 244 -99.3% -99.3% 0% 0% -98.9%
≤90d 649 -37.9% -43.8% 24% 22% -35.4%
all 1356 -9.8% -18.4% 35% 30% -15.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover25.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.4% 30% -15.9%
10% ← realistic here -26.2% 27% -24.0%
15% -33.3% 24% -31.3%
20% -39.9% 23% -38.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $25.31 · official $25.31 (match) · 3500 history records