Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T13:48:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1C
0x1c42…6e3b
crypto · 1667 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$5,775 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$5,786 · open +$11
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$36
Realized−$5,786
Unrealized+$11
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses1022 / 872
Est. fees paid−$11
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1894 / 1667
History coverage131d
Avg bet$78
Trades / day24.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 1 History 1894 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$9,482
7 days−$9,486
14 days−$9,210
30 days−$9,232
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Down 56¢ 80¢ $25 $36 +$11 (+44%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 12, 9PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $106 $0 −$106 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - February 26, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 12, 8AM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $197 $0 −$197 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $122 $0 −$122 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - December 24, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $47 $0 −$47 (-100%)
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-11? Yes 30¢ 0¢ $58 $0 −$58 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $64 $0 −$64 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 8PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $308 $0 −$308 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Will Mozambique win on 2025-12-24? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 27, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Will Botswana win on 2025-12-27? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 11PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $39 −$39 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $60 −$60 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 24, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $47 −$47 -100%
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-11? Jun 13 $58 −$58 -101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $64 −$64 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Will Mozambique win on 2025-12-24? Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Will Botswana win on 2025-12-27? Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $41 −$41 -100%
Will Nigeria vs. Mozambique end in a draw? Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $46 −$46 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 5AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 6, 2AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $142 −$142 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 7, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - December 24, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $46 −$46 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $78 −$78 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $82 −$82 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $69 −$69 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $31 −$31 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 4, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $59 −$59 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 7, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $78 −$78 -100%
Will Algeria vs. Sudan end in a draw? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 27, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $40 −$40 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 4, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $96 −$96 -100%
Will Botswana vs. DR Congo end in a draw? Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 97% +$3,783
other 1% −$175
sports 1% −$71
world 0% +$225
finance 0% −$25
economics 0% −$40
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET SELL Down 71¢ $23 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $26 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $21 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $17 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8AM ET SELL Down 25¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $41 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET SELL Down 34¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $28 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $44 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET SELL Up 84¢ $44 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $31 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $17 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5AM ET SELL Down 88¢ $34 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $20 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $29 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $49 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $32 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $75 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $42 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $20 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET SELL Down 36¢ $14 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET SELL Down 31¢ $6 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $29 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $34 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $63 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $36 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET SELL Up 82¢ $36 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $24 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET SELL Up 22¢ $13 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $33 24h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-20.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 334 -74.3% -76.8% 16% 15% -84.0%
≤30d 551 -42.3% -47.8% 35% 33% -61.0%
≤90d 1067 -22.4% -29.8% 48% 45% -28.7%
all 1894 -12.1% -20.5% 54% 49% -13.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover24.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.5% 49% -13.0%
10% ← realistic here -28.1% 41% -21.3%
15% -35.0% 32% -28.9%
20% -41.4% 24% -35.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $36.07 · official $35.18 (match) · 3500 history records