Wallet analysis

2026-06-26T05:03:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2.5
score
1C 0x1c32…4cbd crypto 112 markets active 2h ago coverage 5d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$95 (+0%) realized +$95 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR1%break-even
Win rate98%110W / 2L
Whale WR100%big bets
Drawdown87%max
Avg bet$179per market
Trades / day25.9pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 5d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$81
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-9.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 112 +0.3% -9.3% 98% 1% -9.2%
≤30d 112 +0.3% -9.3% 98% 1% -9.2%
≤90d 112 +0.3% -9.3% 98% 1% -9.2%
all 112 +0.3% -9.3% 98% 1% -9.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover25.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.3% 1% -9.2%
10% ← realistic here -18.0% 0% -17.8%
15% -25.9% 0% -25.8%
20% -33.2% 0% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 9% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
98% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 100% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +2% → late -1% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$125 · ×0.02 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.33 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

5d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$95
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses110 / 2
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)112 / 112
History coverage5d
Avg bet$179
Trades / day25.9
Drawdown87%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 112 Trades
no open positions (2 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 26 $100 +$2 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 26 $101 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 26 $98 +$3 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 26 $99 +$2 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 26 $99 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 26 $99 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 25 $99 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 25 $78 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 25 $95 +$3 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 25 $89 +$8 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 25 $91 +$5 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 25 $92 +$3 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 25 $94 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 25 $94 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 25 $93 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 25 $93 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 25 $93 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 25 $93 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 25 $93 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 25 $89 +$4 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 25 $88 +$4 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 25 $91 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 25 $115 −$115 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 25 $115 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 25 $110 +$5 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 25 $110 +$4 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 25 $113 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 25 $112 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 24 $111 +$2 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 24 $111 +$2 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 24 $107 +$5 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 24 $111 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 24 $135 −$135 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 24 $126 +$10 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 24 $135 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 24 $135 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 24 $107 +$7 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 24 $55 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 24 $54 +$2 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 24 $55 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 24 $50 +$6 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 24 $54 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 24 $54 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 24 $54 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 24 $54 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 24 $9 +$1 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 24 $113 +$3 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 24 $110 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 24 $110 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 24 $116 +$3 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $100 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $101 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $98 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $99 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $78 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $95 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $89 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $91 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $92 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $94 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $94 14h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $93 14h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $93 15h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $93 16h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $93 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $93 18h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $89 18h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $88 19h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $79 20h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 20h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $11 20h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $112 23h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 23h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $115 24h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $110 24h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $110 27h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $113 27h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 231 history records