trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 13? | Jun 13 | $1 | +$1 | +115% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 13? | Jun 13 | $1 | +$1 | +140% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 12? | Jun 13 | $1 | +$2 | +176% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 13 | $60 | −$30 | -50% |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 13? | Jun 13 | $1 | +$1 | +61% |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 13? | Jun 13 | $1 | $0 | -24% |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 13? | Jun 13 | $1 | $0 | +11% |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on June 12? | Jun 12 | $1 | +$1 | +88% |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 12? | Jun 12 | $1 | +$1 | +56% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 11? | Jun 12 | $1 | +$2 | +161% |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 12? | Jun 11 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on June 12? | Jun 11 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 11? | Jun 11 | $1 | +$1 | +78% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 11 | $10 | −$6 | -55% |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on June 11? | Jun 11 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 11? | Jun 10 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on June 10? | Jun 10 | $5 | +$10 | +185% |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 10? | Jun 09 | $1 | $0 | +44% |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on June 10? | Jun 09 | $5 | −$4 | -71% |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 10? | Jun 09 | $1 | −$1 | -96% |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 10? | Jun 09 | $1 | −$1 | -96% |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on June 8? | Jun 08 | $2 | −$2 | -95% |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on June 8? | Jun 08 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 23 | +5.0% | -5.0% | 48% | 48% | -35.8% |
| ≤30d | 23 | +5.0% | -5.0% | 48% | 48% | -35.8% |
| ≤90d | 23 | +5.0% | -5.0% | 48% | 48% | -35.8% |
| all | 23 | +5.0% | -5.0% | 48% | 48% | -35.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -5.0% | 48% | -35.8% |
| 10% | -14.1% | 43% | -42.0% |
| 15% | -22.4% | 43% | -47.6% |
| 20% | -30.0% | 39% | -52.7% |