Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:47:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1C
0x1c24…67aa
crypto · 23 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$38 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$38 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized−$38
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses14 / 9
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)23 / 23
History coverage12d
Avg bet$16
Trades / day2.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 0 History 23 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$6
7 days+$6
14 days−$38
30 days−$38
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $43 $0 −$43 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $23 −$3 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $25 +$15 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $17 +$3 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $19 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $18 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $39 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $18 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $19 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $37 +$3 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 11 $15 −$15 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 11 $27 +$3 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +7%
Spread: Spurs (-1.5) Jun 04 $21 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 02 $3 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 1, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 01 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 01 $2 $0 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 01 $44 −$43 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 93% −$37
sports 6% −$1
other 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $19 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $2 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $17 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $19 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $18 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $19 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $18 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $19 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $1 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $15 41h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $1 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $18 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $19 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $9 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $8 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 2d
Spread: Spurs (-1.5) BUY Knicks 79¢ $16 9d
Spread: Spurs (-1.5) BUY Spurs 26¢ $5 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 11d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $22 11d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $22 11d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +22%
net ROI/market (all)-31.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 18 -26.7% -33.7% 61% 22% -7.7%
≤30d 23 -24.1% -31.3% 61% 22% -19.0%
≤90d 23 -24.1% -31.3% 61% 22% -19.0%
all 23 -24.1% -31.3% 61% 22% -19.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.7 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -31.3% 22% -19.0%
10% -37.9% 9% -26.7%
15% -43.9% 4% -33.8%
20% -49.4% 4% -40.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3.00 · official $3.00 (match) · 50 history records