trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +3.4% | -6.4% | 50% | 50% | +5.6% |
| ≤30d | 6 | -20.6% | -28.2% | 50% | 50% | -23.1% |
| ≤90d | 9 | -29.3% | -36.0% | 33% | 33% | -30.8% |
| all | 14 | -24.6% | -31.8% | 43% | 43% | -16.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -31.8% | 43% | -16.0% |
| 10% | -38.3% | 29% | -24.0% |
| 15% | -44.3% | 0% | -31.4% |
| 20% | -49.7% | 0% | -38.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Germany (-1.5) | Germany | 49¢ | 48¢ | $243 | $240 | −$2 (-1%) |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 11¢ | 4¢ | $54 | $17 | −$37 (-68%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 29 | $153 | +$50 | +33% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-29? | Jun 29 | $58 | −$15 | -26% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $56 | −$55 | -98% |
| Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $45 | +$11 | +24% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $132 | −$118 | -89% |
| Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score | Jun 11 | $121 | +$41 | +34% |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? | May 23 | $150 | −$67 | -44% |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25? | May 23 | $40 | −$15 | -38% |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23? | May 23 | $30 | −$17 | -57% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | Mar 15 | $301 | −$125 | -42% |
| Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by February 28? | Mar 01 | $160 | +$19 | +12% |
| US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026? | Feb 26 | $133 | +$27 | +20% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET | Jan 24 | $20 | −$20 | -99% |
| AFC U23 Final: China vs. Japan | Jan 24 | $506 | +$147 | +29% |