Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:39:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1B
0x1bf0…e8c1
crypto · 360 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$3,183 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,188 · open +$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$125
Realized−$3,188
Unrealized+$5
Win rate (resolved)63%
Wins / losses225 / 134
Whale WR (big bets)80%
Open positions1
Markets (closed)359 / 360
History coverage170d
Avg bet$137
Trades / day6.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit76%
Chart Positions 1 History 359 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$44
7 days−$54
14 days+$11
30 days+$11
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 17¢ $120 $125 +$5 (+4%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $130 $0 −$130 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$19 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $126 +$11 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$3 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $51 −$12 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $31 +$6 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $101 +$10 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $227 +$4 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $201 +$9 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $152 +$12 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $278 −$16 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $127 +$6 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $126 +$5 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$14 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$7 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $100 +$2 +2%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? Jun 12 $262 +$44 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 11 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 11 $100 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 11 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 11 $100 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 11 $101 +$13 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 08 $101 −$101 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 08 $26 +$15 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 08 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 08 $26 +$7 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 08 $100 +$1 +1%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? Jun 08 $180 +$12 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 06 $5 +$5 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 06 $99 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 06 $52 −$43 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 06 $63 +$3 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 06 $51 +$3 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 05 $211 +$34 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 05 $132 +$31 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 05 $228 +$11 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 05 $228 +$17 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 05 $77 +$28 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 05 $55 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 05 $254 −$91 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 05 $100 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 05 $101 +$8 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 05 $126 −$101 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 05 $100 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 04 $100 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 04 $100 +$6 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 04 $252 +$5 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 04 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 04 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 04 $107 −$5 -5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 83% −$1,289
other 7% −$1,261
world 7% −$559
politics 1% −$16
tech 1% +$34
culture 0% −$68
sports 0% −$24
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $101 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $100 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $26 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $25 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $100 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $25 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $25 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $25 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET SELL Down 74¢ $37 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $26 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $25 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET SELL Down 23¢ $8 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 14¢ $5 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $111 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $101 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $100 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $25 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET SELL Down 73¢ $103 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $102 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $210 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $100 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $100 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $100 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET SELL Down 64¢ $33 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $26 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET SELL Down 71¢ $26 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $26 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $0 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET SELL Up 90¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +23%
net ROI/market (all)-15.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 33 +4.8% -5.1% 82% 30% -10.5%
≤30d 74 -0.8% -10.3% 81% 20% -9.2%
≤90d 197 -11.3% -19.7% 71% 19% -13.5%
all 359 -6.1% -15.0% 63% 23% -15.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.7 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.0% 23% -15.4%
10% -23.1% 14% -23.5%
15% -30.6% 10% -30.9%
20% -37.4% 7% -37.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $124.81 · official $124.81 (match) · 1396 history records