Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:59:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1B
0x1be4…1db1
sports · 792 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$198 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$220 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$86
Realized−$220
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses481 / 297
Est. fees paid−$37
Open positions14
Markets (closed)778 / 792
History coverage227d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day6.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 14 History 778 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$47
7 days−$58
14 days−$84
30 days−$82
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 17¢ $17 $17 −$0 (-0%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 18¢ 16¢ $18 $16 −$2 (-11%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 8¢ 12¢ $11 $16 +$5 (+49%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $11 $10 −$2 (-14%)
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Over 71¢ 72¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+2%)
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-4%)
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-12%)
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5) Gen.G 53¢ 52¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-3%)
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5) Top Esports 51¢ 50¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 Over 47¢ 46¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-3%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 58¢ 22¢ $6 $2 −$4 (-61%)
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 46¢ 40¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-14%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Top Esports 31¢ 30¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Under 28¢ 28¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Spread: Spurs (-25.5) Spurs 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Spread: Knicks (-16.5) Knicks 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 197.5 Over 34¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5) Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5 Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Haiti vs. Scotland: Scotland O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $18 −$18 -100%
Spread: Knicks (-22.5) Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 197.5 Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Spread: Spurs (-25.5) Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Knicks (-16.5) Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $3 +$2 +70%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $2 +$2 +82%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $3 −$3 -83%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $3 +$3 +84%
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $2 +$3 +149%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $9 +$1 +17%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $8 +$2 +32%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $2 +$1 +83%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $7 +$3 +44%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $2 +$5 +194%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5 Jun 09 $3 +$2 +82%
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+1.5) Jun 08 $3 +$2 +57%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 07 $2 +$3 +138%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $2 +$3 +109%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 07 $3 +$3 +105%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 07 $3 −$3 -100%
Spread: Knicks (-3.5) Jun 07 $3 −$3 -100%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 07 $3 −$3 -100%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 214.5 Jun 07 $3 −$3 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 07 $3 −$3 -100%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 07 $4 −$4 -100%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $3 −$3 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 07 $3 −$3 -100%
Shanghai Sharks vs. Zhejiang Lions Jun 07 $2 −$2 -100%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 07 $1 −$1 -100%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 07 $7 −$7 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 07 $2 +$3 +107%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 07 $4 −$3 -90%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 07 $2 −$1 -88%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 07 $4 +$1 +27%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $2 +$2 +77%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 06 $3 +$3 +101%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 97% −$223
other 3% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 71¢ $5 1h
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 28¢ $1 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Top Esports 31¢ $2 1h
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5) BUY Top Esports 51¢ $3 1h
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5) BUY Gen.G 53¢ $3 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 47¢ $2 3h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 58¢ $6 3h
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 197.5 BUY Over 22¢ $1 3h
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 197.5 BUY Over 22¢ $0 3h
Haiti vs. Scotland: Scotland O/U 1.5 BUY Over 51¢ $3 3h
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 197.5 BUY Over 45¢ $0 3h
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 197.5 BUY Over 45¢ $2 3h
Spread: Spurs (-25.5) BUY Spurs 6¢ $1 4h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 17¢ $1 7h
Spread: Knicks (-16.5) BUY Knicks 8¢ $1 7h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 2¢ $0 7h
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) BUY Vitality 65¢ $3 13h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Bilibili Gaming 92¢ $5 16h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 54¢ $3 16h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner BUY Team WE 27¢ $1 17h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL Team WE 84¢ $4 18h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Team WE 46¢ $2 18h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL Natus Vincere 11¢ $1 18h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Natus Vincere 62¢ $3 19h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 46¢ $2 25h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 2.5 BUY Over 45¢ $2 25h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 59¢ $3 25h
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 51¢ $3 26h
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 50¢ $3 26h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 92¢ $6 27h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +56%
net ROI/market (all)-11.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 49 -34.7% -40.9% 35% 35% -42.5%
≤30d 182 -13.1% -21.4% 47% 47% -23.0%
≤90d 686 -2.7% -11.9% 61% 56% -14.9%
all 778 -1.9% -11.2% 62% 56% -13.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.4 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.2% 56% -13.6%
10% -19.7% 48% -21.9%
15% -27.5% 37% -29.4%
20% -34.6% 27% -36.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $85.74 · official $85.74 (match) · 1843 history records