Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:21:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1B
0x1bc9…0e10
crypto · 20 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$436 +19%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$40 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4
Realized+$40
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses8 / 11
Open positions1
Markets (closed)19 / 20
History coverage1d
Avg bet$117
Trades / day403.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 19 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$40
7 days+$40
14 days+$40
30 days+$40
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Up 29¢ 92¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+221%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 36¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+179%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Up 44¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+128%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Down 49¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+103%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 38¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+166%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 36¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+180%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $120 $0 −$120 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $224 $0 −$224 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $69 $0 −$69 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $44 +$40 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $113 +$127 +112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $48 +$71 +147%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $82 +$37 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $102 −$5 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $108 −$7 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $33 −$16 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $156 −$71 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $155 −$133 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $233 −$224 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $71 −$69 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $174 +$150 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $140 −$36 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $41 +$57 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $127 −$120 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $194 −$138 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $130 +$129 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $28 −$27 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $173 +$275 +159%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$40
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $40 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $56 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $59 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $16 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $34 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $75 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $161 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $26 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $56 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $14 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $14 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $14 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $5 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $9 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $4 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $9 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $7 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $19 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $6 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $9 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $5 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $14 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $14 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $10 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $15 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $5 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $13 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $11 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $5 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $5 4m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)+253.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 19 +290.2% +253.0% 42% 42% -34.1%
≤30d 19 +290.2% +253.0% 42% 42% -34.1%
≤90d 19 +290.2% +253.0% 42% 42% -34.1%
all 19 +290.2% +253.0% 42% 42% -34.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover403.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +253.0% 42% -34.1%
10% ← realistic here +219.2% 42% -40.4%
15% +188.4% 42% -46.2%
20% +160.1% 37% -51.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3.63 · official $0.00 · 406 history records