Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:26:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1B
0x1bbf…1318
crypto · 22 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$20 +23%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$20 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$20
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses8 / 13
Open positions0
Markets (closed)21 / 22
History coverage1d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day60.0
Drawdown53%
Kalshi-fit91%
Chart Positions 0 History 21 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$20
7 days+$20
14 days+$20
30 days+$20
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$3 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -11%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $10 +$17 +165%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$1 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$2 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 11 $6 +$12 +189%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$1 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$2 +17%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 80% +$4
other 20% +$17
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? AND Will United States win on 2026-06-1 BUY 28¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET SELL Up 56¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Down 63¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Down 31¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Down 49¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET SELL Up 54¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET SELL Down 45¢ $3 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 10h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 37¢ $4 21h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 37¢ $6 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET SELL Down 18¢ $1 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET SELL Down 9¢ $0 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $2 22h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-32.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 21 -25.4% -32.5% 38% 38% +18.5%
≤30d 21 -25.4% -32.5% 38% 38% +18.5%
≤90d 21 -25.4% -32.5% 38% 38% +18.5%
all 21 -25.4% -32.5% 38% 38% +18.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover60.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -32.5% 38% +18.5%
10% ← realistic here -39.0% 29% +7.2%
15% -44.9% 24% -3.2%
20% -50.3% 14% -12.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $7.00 · 62 history records