Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:55:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1B
0x1bbd…3bed
crypto · 620 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$3,681 -67%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,682 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$28
Realized−$3,682
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses462 / 549
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1011 / 620
History coverage2d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day1229.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 1011 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3,693
7 days−$3,682
14 days−$3,682
30 days−$3,682
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Up 78¢ 84¢ $18 $20 +$1 (+7%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 76¢ 100¢ $5 $7 +$2 (+31%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 73¢ 78¢ $1 $2 +$0 (+8%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $33 −$33 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $32 −$38 -118%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $69 −$69 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$365
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $2 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $2 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $2 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $2 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $2 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $2 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $2 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $2 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $2 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $2 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $2 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $2 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $2 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $2 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $2 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $2 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $2 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $2 24m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-46.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1011 -40.4% -46.1% 46% 41% -45.1%
≤30d 1011 -40.4% -46.1% 46% 41% -45.1%
≤90d 1011 -40.4% -46.1% 46% 41% -45.1%
all 1011 -40.4% -46.1% 46% 41% -45.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1229.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -46.1% 41% -45.1%
10% ← realistic here -51.2% 21% -50.3%
15% -55.9% 5% -55.1%
20% -60.3% 2% -59.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $27.93 · official $27.05 (match) · 3500 history records