Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:57:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1B
0x1bbb…8177
world · 41 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$5 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$9 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP world specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4
Realized+$9
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)6%
Wins / losses2 / 33
Open positions13
Markets (closed)35 / 41
History coverage14d
Avg bet$214
Trades / day244.8
Drawdown20%
Kalshi-fit88%
Chart Positions 13 History 35 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days+$9
14 days+$9
30 days+$9
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No 94¢ 94¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No 94¢ 94¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No 97¢ 98¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+0%)
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No 98¢ 98¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-0%)
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No 95¢ 95¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-0%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? No 98¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+2%)
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 98¢ 97¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-0%)
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No 98¢ 98¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-0%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? No 84¢ 83¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-1%)
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 98¢ 98¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-0%)
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No 97¢ 96¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-0%)
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No 98¢ 98¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+0%)
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? No 98¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+2%)
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No 98¢ 98¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+0%)
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes 76¢ 78¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+2%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? Jun 13 $0 −$1 -246%
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? Jun 13 $0 $0 -220%
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Jun 12 $10 $0 -0%
Israel closes its airspace by June 15? Jun 12 $10 $0 -0%
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $5 $0 -0%
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Jun 12 $30 $0 -0%
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? Jun 12 $10 $0 -0%
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? Jun 12 $65 $0 -0%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan? Jun 12 $10 $0 -0%
Iran leadership change by June 30? Jun 12 $35 $0 -0%
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? Jun 11 $15 $0 -0%
Iran coup attempt by June 30? Jun 11 $30 $0 -0%
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats Jun 11 $15 $0 -0%
Will Alberta join the US? Jun 11 $30 $0 -0%
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Jun 10 $10 $0 -3%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 10 $10 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 09 $5 $0 -0%
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? Jun 09 $15 $0 +0%
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Jun 09 $5 $0 -1%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9? Jun 09 $5 $0 -0%
Netanyahu out by June 30? Jun 09 $160 $0 -0%
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Jun 08 $1,492 +$11 +1%
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? Jun 08 $30 $0 -0%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? Jun 08 $170 $0 -0%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? Jun 08 $115 $0 -0%
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? Jun 07 $10 $0 -0%
Iran closes its airspace by June 15? Jun 06 $5 $0 -0%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? Jun 06 $55 $0 -0%
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? Jun 03 $30 $0 -0%
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? Jun 03 $5 $0 -0%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3? Jun 02 $5 $0 -0%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31? Jun 01 $10 $0 -0%
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? May 31 $10 $0 -1%
Iran closes its airspace by May 31? May 30 $20 $0 -0%
Israel closes its airspace by May 31? May 30 $10 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
world 69% +$10
politics 27% $0
other 4% $0
finance 0% $0
crypto 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? SELL No 94¢ $5 7m
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? BUY No 94¢ $5 7m
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? SELL No 94¢ $5 15m
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? BUY No 94¢ $5 16m
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? SELL No 94¢ $5 27m
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? BUY No 94¢ $5 27m
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? SELL No 94¢ $5 36m
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? BUY No 95¢ $5 37m
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? SELL No 94¢ $5 50m
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? BUY No 94¢ $5 50m
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? SELL No 94¢ $5 1h
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? BUY No 94¢ $5 1h
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? SELL No 94¢ $5 1h
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? BUY No 94¢ $5 1h
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? SELL No 94¢ $5 1h
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? BUY No 94¢ $5 1h
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? SELL No 94¢ $5 1h
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? BUY No 94¢ $5 1h
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? SELL No 94¢ $5 1h
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? BUY No 94¢ $5 1h
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? SELL No 94¢ $5 2h
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? BUY No 94¢ $5 2h
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? SELL No 94¢ $5 2h
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? BUY No 94¢ $5 2h
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? SELL No 94¢ $5 2h
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? BUY No 94¢ $5 2h
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? SELL No 94¢ $5 2h
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? BUY No 94¢ $5 2h
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? SELL No 94¢ $5 2h
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? BUY No 94¢ $5 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-15.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 27 -7.7% -16.5% 7% 0% -9.1%
≤30d 35 -6.0% -15.0% 6% 0% -9.2%
≤90d 35 -6.0% -15.0% 6% 0% -9.2%
all 35 -6.0% -15.0% 6% 0% -9.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover244.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.0% 0% -9.2%
10% ← realistic here -23.1% 0% -17.9%
15% -30.5% 0% -25.8%
20% -37.4% 0% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.47 · official $0.00 · 3500 history records