Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:08:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1B
0x1ba7…67a1
sports · 438 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$8 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$21 · open −$26
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,777
Realized+$21
Unrealized−$26
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses189 / 236
Est. fees paid−$745
Open positions14
Markets (closed)425 / 438
History coverage49d
Avg bet$115
Trades / day13.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 14 History 425 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$989
7 days+$1,377
14 days+$1,757
30 days+$1,757
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers 58¢ 60¢ $273 $285 +$12 (+4%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Arizona Diamondbacks 58¢ 57¢ $273 $271 −$2 (-1%)
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5 Over 56¢ 56¢ $188 $186 −$2 (-1%)
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Atlanta Braves 49¢ 48¢ $148 $147 −$2 (-1%)
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 55¢ 54¢ $148 $144 −$4 (-3%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox 54¢ 42¢ $171 $134 −$37 (-22%)
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 57¢ 64¢ $99 $112 +$13 (+13%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 17¢ $99 $100 +$2 (+2%)
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 66¢ 66¢ $99 $98 −$1 (-1%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 58¢ 57¢ $99 $98 −$1 (-1%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Under 42¢ 44¢ $74 $78 +$4 (+5%)
Halle Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Miomir Kecmanovic Miomir Kecmanovic 53¢ 50¢ $74 $71 −$4 (-5%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 18¢ 16¢ $50 $45 −$4 (-8%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 58¢ $7 $7 −$0 (-1%)
Spread: Lakers (-3.5) Lakers 52¢ 0¢ $108 $0 −$108 (-100%)
Seattle Mariners vs. Chicago White Sox Seattle Mariners 55¢ 0¢ $121 $0 −$121 (-100%)
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5 Over 52¢ 0¢ $206 $0 −$206 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Diane Parry vs Amanda Anisimova Amanda Anisimova 45¢ 0¢ $71 $0 −$71 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Jaime Faria Adolfo Vallejo 47¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Zhizhen Zhang Zhizhen Zhang 58¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Madrid Open: Alexander Blockx vs Alexander Zverev Alexander Blockx 24¢ 0¢ $74 $0 −$74 (-100%)
Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins Miami Marlins 57¢ 0¢ $135 $0 −$135 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paul Tommy Paul 34¢ 0¢ $196 $0 −$196 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Martin Landaluce 31¢ 0¢ $76 $0 −$76 (-100%)
Texas Rangers vs. Detroit Tigers Texas Rangers 46¢ 0¢ $198 $0 −$198 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Mauthausen: Roman Safiullin vs Titouan Droguet Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex de Minaur Jun 13 $76 −$74 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Jun 13 $50 +$57 +114%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $75 +$73 +97%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Jun 13 $235 +$194 +83%
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) Jun 13 $163 +$146 +90%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $75 +$83 +109%
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 12 $150 +$115 +76%
Set Handicap: Shelton (-1.5) vs Giron (+1.5) Jun 12 $72 +$53 +73%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 12 $14 +$16 +111%
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Jun 12 $130 +$74 +57%
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery Jun 12 $40 −$40 -98%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 12 $100 +$64 +63%
Lyon: Pedro Martinez vs Felix Balshaw Jun 12 $50 +$57 +114%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 12 $245 +$194 +79%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Jun 12 $138 +$97 +70%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 12 $226 +$158 +70%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 12 $227 +$195 +86%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 12 $151 +$152 +101%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $235 −$232 -99%
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 12 $17 −$16 -98%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 12 $227 −$224 -99%
Set Handicap: Minaur (-1.5) vs Bonzi (+1.5) Jun 12 $74 −$73 -98%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score Jun 11 $74 −$74 -100%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $144 −$143 -99%
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech Jun 11 $75 +$83 +109%
Lyon: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Galan Jun 11 $183 +$189 +103%
Libema Open: Ugo Humbert vs Benjamin Bonzi Jun 11 $76 +$143 +188%
Set Handicap: Humbert (-1.5) vs Bonzi (+1.5) Jun 11 $95 +$67 +70%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5 Jun 11 $245 +$194 +79%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 11 $101 +$135 +134%
Tucuman: Maximo Zeitune vs Arklon Del Pino Jun 10 $74 −$73 -99%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 Jun 10 $217 −$214 -99%
Libema Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Botic van de Zandschulp Jun 10 $152 +$110 +72%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 10 $176 +$145 +83%
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 10 $77 −$76 -98%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 09 $151 −$148 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Tom Gentzsch vs Rinky Hijikata Jun 09 $76 +$106 +140%
Libema Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 09 $100 +$80 +79%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 12.5 Jun 09 $245 −$242 -99%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 09 $194 +$133 +68%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 09 $181 +$145 +80%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $76 −$74 -98%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5 Jun 08 $75 −$74 -99%
Libema Open: Marin Cilic vs Denis Shapovalov Jun 08 $115 +$158 +137%
Stuttgart Open: Tommy Paul vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Jun 08 $76 +$33 +44%
Stuttgart Open: Quentin Halys vs Sho Shimabukuro Jun 08 $100 −$99 -99%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 08 $235 −$232 -99%
Libema Open: Ugo Humbert vs Elias Ymer Jun 08 $51 −$49 -98%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Jenson Brooksby Jun 08 $100 −$99 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 98% −$108
other 1% +$115
crypto 0% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Halle Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Miomir Kecmanovic BUY Miomir Kecmanovic 53¢ $75 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 42¢ $76 1h
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5 BUY Over 56¢ $191 3h
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets BUY Atlanta Braves 49¢ $151 3h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $7 3h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Milwaukee Brewers 58¢ $277 4h
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds BUY Arizona Diamondbacks 58¢ $138 4h
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds BUY Arizona Diamondbacks 58¢ $138 4h
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex de Minaur BUY Adrian Mannarino 19¢ $76 5h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 58¢ $100 8h
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 16¢ $101 23h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro BUY Ben Shelton 46¢ $50 23h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 47¢ $75 24h
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) BUY Milwaukee Brewers 52¢ $163 27h
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery BUY Daria Snigur 25¢ $40 27h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5 BUY Over 54¢ $235 29h
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 55¢ $151 29h
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Harriet Dart 39¢ $17 29h
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants BUY San Francisco Giants 53¢ $227 29h
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets BUY New York Mets 54¢ $235 29h
Set Handicap: Minaur (-1.5) vs Bonzi (+1.5) BUY Bonzi 51¢ $8 42h
Set Handicap: Minaur (-1.5) vs Bonzi (+1.5) BUY Bonzi 51¢ $61 42h
Set Handicap: Minaur (-1.5) vs Bonzi (+1.5) BUY Bonzi 46¢ $1 42h
Set Handicap: Minaur (-1.5) vs Bonzi (+1.5) BUY Bonzi 46¢ $4 42h
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 57¢ $100 42h
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik BUY Alexander Bublik 63¢ $130 43h
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe BUY Jiri Lehecka 56¢ $150 43h
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino BUY Adrian Mannarino 58¢ $150 43h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 18¢ $51 45h
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 37¢ $32 47h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-14.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 68 +6.3% -3.8% 56% 56% +4.8%
≤30d 310 +0.1% -9.4% 47% 47% -5.0%
≤90d 425 -6.0% -14.9% 44% 44% -9.5%
all 425 -6.0% -14.9% 44% 44% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover13.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.9% 44% -9.5%
10% -23.1% 44% -18.1%
15% -30.5% 44% -26.0%
20% -37.3% 43% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,777.44 · official $1,777.44 (match) · 848 history records