Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T20:23:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1B
0x1b8c…917f
sports · 3 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$0 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 3
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)3 / 3
History coverage3d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day2.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit67%
Chart Positions 0 History 3 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days−$1
14 days−$1
30 days−$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? Jun 14 $7 $0 -3%
Spread: Portugal (-1.5) Jun 14 $8 −$1 -8%
Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $11 $0 -2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 72% −$1
other 28% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? SELL Yes 49¢ $7 1h
Spread: Portugal (-1.5) SELL Portugal 50¢ $7 1h
Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 SELL Over 71¢ $11 1h
Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 71¢ $11 2d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? BUY Yes 49¢ $7 2d
Spread: Portugal (-1.5) BUY Portugal 53¢ $8 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-13.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 -4.4% -13.5% 0% 0% -13.3%
≤30d 3 -4.4% -13.5% 0% 0% -13.3%
≤90d 3 -4.4% -13.5% 0% 0% -13.3%
all 3 -4.4% -13.5% 0% 0% -13.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.3 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.5% 0% -13.3%
10% -21.8% 0% -21.6%
15% -29.3% 0% -29.1%
20% -36.2% 0% -36.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 6 history records