Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T20:30:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1B
0x1b6e…2c55
crypto · 210 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,092 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,092 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,092
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)78%
Wins / losses164 / 46
Whale WR (big bets)73%
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)210 / 210
History coverage10d
Avg bet$170
Trades / day55.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 210 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$74
7 days−$725
14 days−$1,092
30 days−$1,092
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI T1 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $116 $0 −$116 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner T1 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $87 $0 −$87 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $400 $0 −$400 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $204 +$12 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $186 +$16 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $184 +$27 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $98 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $171 +$8 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $133 +$16 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $130 +$10 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $14 +$6 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $117 +$13 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $101 +$14 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $88 +$12 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $297 −$228 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $325 +$15 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $300 +$30 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $291 +$11 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $233 +$7 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $185 +$15 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $200 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$12 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $210 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$6 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$9 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$8 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $136 +$14 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $179 +$11 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $143 +$7 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$4 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$8 -96%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $146 +$4 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $178 +$12 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $160 +$10 +6%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $4 +$6 +162%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $157 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 11 $43 +$7 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 11 $109 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 11 $93 +$7 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 11 $9 +$1 +12%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$1,165
sports 1% +$32
politics 0% +$35
other 0% +$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $5 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $204 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $181 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $37 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $103 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $48 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $171 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $12 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $12 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $17 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $12 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $12 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $18 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $130 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $14 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $3 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-14.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 160 -8.1% -16.9% 77% 34% -12.3%
≤30d 210 -6.0% -14.9% 78% 39% -12.3%
≤90d 210 -6.0% -14.9% 78% 39% -12.3%
all 210 -6.0% -14.9% 78% 39% -12.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover55.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.9% 39% -12.3%
10% ← realistic here -23.1% 17% -20.7%
15% -30.5% 10% -28.3%
20% -37.3% 7% -35.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 814 history records