trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Yes | 44¢ | 6¢ | $10 | $1 | −$9 (-88%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $10 | +$6 | +62% |
| Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 | Jun 12 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Spread: Mexico (-2.5) | Jun 12 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $26 | +$10 | +40% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 11 | $10 | −$6 | -53% |
| Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8? | Jun 08 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 7? | Jun 07 | $36 | +$9 | +24% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 7? | Jun 07 | $4 | +$19 | +448% |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? | Jun 04 | $21 | −$21 | -100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May? | Jun 04 | $26 | +$12 | +45% |
| Market | side | price | size | when |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | BUY Yes | 44¢ | $10 | 54m |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | SELL No | 60¢ | $7 | 1h |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | BUY No | 81¢ | $10 | 2h |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | BUY No | 60¢ | $10 | 18h |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | BUY Yes | 70¢ | $26 | 29h |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL Yes | 19¢ | $5 | 31h |
| Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 | BUY Over | 44¢ | $5 | 32h |
| Spread: Mexico (-2.5) | BUY Mexico | 20¢ | $5 | 32h |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY Yes | 37¢ | $10 | 3d |
| Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8? | BUY No | 5¢ | $11 | 5d |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 7? | BUY Yes | 17¢ | $4 | 5d |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 7? | BUY Yes | 78¢ | $36 | 5d |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? | BUY No | 30¢ | $21 | 12d |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? | BUY No | 30¢ | $0 | 12d |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May? | BUY No | 67¢ | $26 | 13d |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | +27.6% | +15.5% | 50% | 50% | +5.5% |
| ≤30d | 10 | +16.6% | +5.5% | 50% | 50% | -4.7% |
| ≤90d | 10 | +16.6% | +5.5% | 50% | 50% | -4.7% |
| all | 10 | +16.6% | +5.5% | 50% | 50% | -4.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +5.5% | 50% | -4.7% |
| 10% | -4.6% | 50% | -13.8% |
| 15% | -13.8% | 40% | -22.1% |
| 20% | -22.3% | 20% | -29.8% |