trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 23 | +2.1% | -7.7% | 48% | 48% | +31.5% |
| ≤30d | 27 | +15.7% | +4.6% | 52% | 52% | +38.7% |
| ≤90d | 27 | +15.7% | +4.6% | 52% | 52% | +38.7% |
| all | 27 | +15.7% | +4.6% | 52% | 52% | +38.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +4.6% | 52% | +38.7% |
| 10% | -5.4% | 52% | +25.5% |
| 15% | -14.5% | 48% | +13.3% |
| 20% | -22.9% | 37% | +2.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 10¢ | 10¢ | $750 | $732 | −$18 (-2%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 13¢ | $736 | $623 | −$113 (-15%) |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 57¢ | 56¢ | $250 | $248 | −$2 (-1%) |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | Yes | 62¢ | 62¢ | $150 | $149 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw? | Yes | 19¢ | 20¢ | $25 | $26 | +$1 (+3%) |
| Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw? | Yes | 9¢ | 8¢ | $15 | $14 | −$1 (-6%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $252 | +$91 | +36% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | Jun 17 | $46 | −$46 | -100% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 17 | $51 | −$51 | -100% |
| Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $26 | −$26 | -100% |
| Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $26 | −$26 | -100% |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $76 | −$76 | -100% |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 16 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 16 | $46 | −$46 | -100% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 16 | $46 | −$46 | -100% |
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $51 | −$51 | -100% |
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 16 | $62 | −$62 | -100% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 16 | $593 | +$680 | +115% |
| Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-0 be the exact series outcome? | Jun 16 | $525 | −$384 | -73% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 16 | $1,299 | +$367 | +28% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 16 | $780 | −$780 | -100% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $252 | +$121 | +48% |
| Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $76 | +$116 | +152% |
| Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $51 | +$176 | +344% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $51 | +$84 | +165% |
| Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes | Jun 12 | $254 | +$137 | +54% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $50 | +$21 | +42% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 11 | $1,232 | +$1,858 | +151% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 11 | $1,435 | +$1,244 | +87% |
| Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees | Jun 09 | $51 | −$8 | -16% |
| San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs | Jun 08 | $51 | +$54 | +106% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 06 | $371 | +$781 | +211% |
| Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees | Jun 06 | $51 | +$38 | +74% |