trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 11 | -1.5% | -10.8% | 36% | 0% | -10.4% |
| ≤30d | 15 | -1.4% | -10.8% | 27% | 0% | -10.4% |
| ≤90d | 15 | -1.4% | -10.8% | 27% | 0% | -10.4% |
| all | 25 | -0.4% | -9.9% | 40% | 4% | -10.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.9% | 4% | -10.6% |
| 10% | -18.5% | 4% | -19.1% |
| 15% | -26.4% | 4% | -27.0% |
| 20% | -33.6% | 0% | -34.1% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 18 | $27 | $0 | +0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | Jun 18 | $11 | $0 | -3% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Jun 18 | $27 | $0 | +0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? | Jun 17 | $3 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | Jun 16 | $27 | +$1 | +3% |
| Netanyahu out by June 30? | Jun 15 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 15 | $26 | +$1 | +3% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 14 | $18 | −$3 | -17% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? | Jun 13 | $29 | $0 | -1% |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by | Jun 13 | $30 | $0 | -1% |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Jun 12 | $60 | $0 | -0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? | Jun 10 | $31 | −$1 | -5% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | Jun 10 | $35 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 09 | $34 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Jun 08 | $32 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series? | Dec 14 | $2 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Cristian Popescu Piedone be the next Mayor of Bucharest? | Jun 26 | $7 | $0 | -0% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting? | Jun 07 | $1 | $0 | -14% |
| Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Jun 06 | $8 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Lee Jae-myung win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential elec | Jun 04 | $7 | $0 | +5% |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals? | May 31 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the Eastern Conference? | May 15 | $4 | +$2 | +48% |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the Eastern Conference? | May 05 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 53-54°F on March 18? | Mar 18 | $12 | −$4 | -30% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 44°F or below on March 18? | Mar 17 | $11 | $0 | +0% |