Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:53:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1B
0x1b58…6f11
crypto · 733 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$6,109 +12%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$6,098 · open +$11
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$190
Realized+$6,098
Unrealized+$11
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses296 / 436
Whale WR (big bets)67%
Open positions1
Markets (closed)732 / 733
History coverage8d
Avg bet$69
Trades / day359.6
Drawdown45%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 732 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,683
7 days+$4,936
14 days+$6,098
30 days+$6,098
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 30¢ 32¢ $179 $190 +$11 (+6%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $133 −$35 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $49 +$14 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $49 +$121 +245%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $135 −$84 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $88 +$168 +190%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $103 −$103 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $34 +$30 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $109 +$51 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $79 −$79 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $37 +$59 +156%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $113 +$47 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $106 −$106 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $74 −$42 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $68 −$68 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $78 +$82 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $38 −$6 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 12 $95 +$33 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $112 +$16 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $201 +$55 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$3 +490%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $30 +$54 +178%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 11 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 11 $17 +$3 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 11 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 11 $36 +$108 +300%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 11 $72 −$72 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 11 $277 +$790 +286%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 11 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 11 $122 +$78 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 11 $321 −$321 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$6,109
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $8 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $12 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $81 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $86 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $0 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $7 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $7 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $11 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $4 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $62 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $37 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $7 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $28 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $9 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $14 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $5 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $12 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $8 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $9 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-3.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 594 +8.7% -1.7% 41% 40% +0.5%
≤30d 732 +6.6% -3.6% 40% 40% +1.4%
≤90d 732 +6.6% -3.6% 40% 40% +1.4%
all 732 +6.6% -3.6% 40% 40% +1.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover359.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -3.6% 40% +1.4%
10% ← realistic here -12.8% 37% -8.3%
15% -21.2% 32% -17.1%
20% -28.9% 30% -25.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $189.60 · official $189.60 (match) · 3500 history records