Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:11:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1B
0x1b52…2b07
sports · 76 markets active 2h ago
7.0score
+$302 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$327 · open −$25
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$149
Realized+$327
Unrealized−$25
Win rate (resolved)72%
Wins / losses54 / 21
Whale WR (big bets)83%
Est. fees paid−$76
Open positions1
Markets (closed)75 / 76
History coverage60d
Avg bet$198
Trades / day2.4
Drawdown98%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 1 History 75 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$12
7 days+$124
14 days+$187
30 days+$152
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Spirit 87¢ 74¢ $174 $149 −$25 (-14%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TYLOO (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group A MOUZ 72¢ 0¢ $216 $0 −$216 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG - Map 2 Winner BIG 61¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 52¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: paiN vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 paiN 52¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B Natus Vincere 69¢ 0¢ $83 $0 −$83 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B TheMongolz 69¢ 0¢ $69 $0 −$69 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A FUT Esports 71¢ 0¢ $85 $0 −$85 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs PARIVISION (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B PARIVISION 68¢ 0¢ $68 $0 −$68 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Under 71¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Lynn Vision 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Sharks (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Heroic 62¢ 0¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs 9z 62¢ 0¢ $62 $0 −$62 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO5) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs Team Falcons 76¢ 0¢ $304 $0 −$304 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 MIBR 78¢ 0¢ $94 $0 −$94 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $89 −$60 -67%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $94 +$17 +18%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $67 +$23 +34%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $64 +$36 +57%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $68 +$22 +32%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 10 $26 −$26 -99%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $58 +$22 +38%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $406 +$44 +11%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 06 $73 +$27 +38%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 06 $27 +$23 +83%
Counter-Strike: paiN vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $26 −$26 -99%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG - Map 1 Winner Jun 05 $78 +$22 +28%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG - Map 2 Winner Jun 05 $19 −$18 -99%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 04 $87 +$13 +14%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 04 $50 +$30 +60%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 04 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners - Map 2 Winner Jun 03 $53 +$27 +52%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 02 $673 +$28 +4%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs NRG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 02 $71 +$29 +42%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 02 $113 +$87 +76%
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Sharks (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 02 $38 −$37 -99%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major St Jun 02 $94 −$94 -99%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs MIBR (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs May 24 $78 +$22 +29%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO5) - CS Asia Championships P May 24 $306 −$304 -99%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A May 22 $182 +$18 +10%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO3) - CS Asia Championships G May 22 $712 +$75 +10%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A May 21 $219 +$21 +10%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Liquid (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Gro May 21 $173 −$16 -10%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 May 21 $11 −$11 -99%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A May 21 $262 −$26 -10%
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B May 21 $95 +$8 +8%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs M80 (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Grou May 20 $957 +$143 +15%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BC.Game Esports (BO1) - CS Asia Champi May 20 $774 +$176 +23%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs PARIVISION (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group May 20 $69 −$68 -99%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B May 20 $70 −$69 -99%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TYLOO (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group A May 20 $218 −$216 -99%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - IEM Atlanta Playo May 17 $100 +$25 +25%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs May 17 $283 +$87 +31%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs May 17 $67 +$33 +50%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Play May 16 $218 +$58 +26%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs May 15 $77 +$33 +44%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs May 15 $63 −$62 -99%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Liquid (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B May 14 $116 +$37 +32%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage May 13 $94 +$36 +38%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A May 13 $86 −$85 -99%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B May 13 $84 −$83 -99%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 May 12 $112 +$88 +78%
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs NRG (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A May 12 $124 +$36 +29%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A May 12 $231 −$187 -81%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage May 12 $85 +$31 +37%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 94% +$634
crypto 5% −$337
other 1% +$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL Team Falcons 23¢ $29 1h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 84¢ $94 8h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 87¢ $175 9h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 68¢ $89 9h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY TheMongolz 74¢ $67 9h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 75¢ $68 43h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Team Falcons 63¢ $25 43h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Team Falcons 63¢ $38 43h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S BUY TheMongolz 52¢ $26 43h
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY Legacy 72¢ $58 3d
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY Spirit 90¢ $271 5d
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY Spirit 90¢ $135 5d
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Spirit 72¢ $73 6d
Counter-Strike: paiN vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY paiN 52¢ $26 6d
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Astralis 54¢ $27 6d
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG - Map 2 Winner BUY BIG 61¢ $19 7d
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG - Map 1 Winner BUY BIG 78¢ $4 7d
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG - Map 1 Winner BUY BIG 78¢ $26 7d
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG - Map 1 Winner BUY BIG 78¢ $11 7d
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG - Map 1 Winner BUY BIG 78¢ $33 7d
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG - Map 1 Winner BUY BIG 78¢ $4 7d
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 BUY Lynn Vision 6¢ $1 8d
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 BUY Lynn Vision 6¢ $0 8d
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 BUY GamerLegion 87¢ $87 8d
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 BUY TYLOO 62¢ $50 8d
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners - Map 2 Winner BUY TYLOO 65¢ $53 9d
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY BetBoom Team 96¢ $1 9d
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY BetBoom Team 96¢ $24 9d
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY BetBoom Team 96¢ $39 9d
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY BetBoom Team 96¢ $1 9d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)+3.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 12 +6.0% -4.1% 75% 75% +0.9%
≤30d 43 -9.0% -17.7% 65% 56% -7.6%
≤90d 75 +13.8% +3.0% 72% 53% -7.5%
all 75 +13.8% +3.0% 72% 53% -7.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +3.0% 53% -7.5%
10% -6.9% 37% -16.4%
15% -15.9% 20% -24.5%
20% -24.1% 9% -31.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $149.00 · official $149.00 (match) · 194 history records