Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:30:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1B
0x1b51…19fa
crypto · 1377 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$162 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$162 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$162
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)26%
Wins / losses371 / 1033
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1404 / 1377
History coverage6d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day489.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1404 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$149
7 days−$162
14 days−$162
30 days−$162
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$4 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$5 -172%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$4 -244%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$12 -175%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +52%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-11.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1404 -2.1% -11.4% 26% 25% -18.0%
≤30d 1404 -2.1% -11.4% 26% 25% -18.0%
≤90d 1404 -2.1% -11.4% 26% 25% -18.0%
all 1404 -2.1% -11.4% 26% 25% -18.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover489.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.4% 25% -18.0%
10% ← realistic here -19.9% 24% -25.9%
15% -27.6% 24% -33.0%
20% -34.7% 23% -39.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records