Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:55:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1B
0x1b50…2aaf
crypto · 1324 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$311 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$311 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$311
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)69%
Wins / losses914 / 409
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1323 / 1324
History coverage66d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day32.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1323 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$10
7 days−$20
14 days−$55
30 days−$157
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$6 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $17 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $12 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $12 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $12 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $11 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $11 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $11 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $11 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $9 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $11 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $11 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $11 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 11 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 11 $8 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 11 $8 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $8 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 11 $8 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 11 $8 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 11 $8 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 11 $8 $0 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$311
weather 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET SELL Down 28¢ $4 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $4 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $3 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET SELL Up 53¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET SELL Down 86¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $17 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $15 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $15 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $9 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $8 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $12 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $12 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $12 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $11 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $11 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-13.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 171 -2.6% -11.9% 81% 19% -10.3%
≤30d 408 -6.4% -15.3% 75% 31% -13.2%
≤90d 1323 -4.2% -13.3% 69% 50% -12.5%
all 1323 -4.2% -13.3% 69% 50% -12.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover32.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.3% 50% -12.5%
10% ← realistic here -21.6% 31% -20.9%
15% -29.2% 19% -28.5%
20% -36.1% 12% -35.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records