Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T22:24:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
1B 0x1b43…d47b crypto 685 markets active 0h ago coverage 5d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (161 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$15 (+1%) realized +$15 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -21% what you keep after slip
Net edge-21%after slip
Net WR54%break-even
Win rate69%468W / 214L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$2per market
Trades / day160.7pace
Kalshi-fit74%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 5d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 75% +$34
other 25% −$47
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (161 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-7.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 682 +2.1% -7.6% 69% 54% -10.4%
≤30d 682 +2.1% -7.6% 69% 54% -10.4%
≤90d 682 +2.1% -7.6% 69% 54% -10.4%
all 682 +2.1% -7.6% 69% 54% -10.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover160.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.6% 54% -10.4%
10% ← realistic here -16.4% 38% -19.0%
15% -24.5% 23% -26.8%
20% -31.9% 16% -34.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 8% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
18% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +2% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -3% → late +7% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$2 · ×0.44 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.96 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

5d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$15
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)69%
Wins / losses468 / 214
Open positions0
Markets (closed)682 / 685
History coverage5d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day160.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit74%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 682 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 4PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +34%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +12%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +134%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 15 $4 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 15 $2 +$4 +218%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +12%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +60%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +9%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 15 $6 −$4 -62%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 2PM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +28%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +23%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +28%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +28%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +22%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +48%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 15 $8 +$15 +200%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +65%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +61%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +35%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 15 $3 +$1 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +38%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +7%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +38%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +9%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +44%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +60%
HYPE Up or Down - June 15, 6AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +60%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$1 -17%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 4m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $2 4m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 4m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $2 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $2 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 4PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $2 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $4 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 2h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $2 2h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $2 2h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $4 2h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $2 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 2PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $2 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 3h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 4h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $2 4h
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $2 5h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $2 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $5.65 · 1514 history records