Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T13:49:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1B
0x1b41…0b56
crypto · 1240 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$458 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$460 · open +$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$18
Realized−$460
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses771 / 597
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1368 / 1240
History coverage4d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day617.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit82%
Chart Positions 1 History 1368 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,267
7 days−$460
14 days−$460
30 days−$460
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Down 76¢ 100¢ $8 $10 +$2 (+32%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Up 59¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+69%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Up 74¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+35%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Down 89¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+12%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Up 66¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+51%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Up 49¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+104%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Up 67¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+49%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Up 22¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+354%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Up 55¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+82%)
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Up 53¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+89%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 86¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+16%)
BNB Up or Down - June 5, 3AM ET Up 22¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+354%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Down 75¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+33%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Down 50¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 1, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $71 $0 −$71 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +355%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +89%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +16%
BNB Up or Down - June 5, 3AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +355%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 1, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $71 −$71 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 6, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $28 −$28 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 8, 10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 84% +$1,004
other 16% +$341
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $4 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $4 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $0 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $3 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 23m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 23m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 24m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $4 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $3 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 36m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $4 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 38m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $4 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $4 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $0 42m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $4 43m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-18.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1368 -9.6% -18.2% 56% 52% -14.0%
≤30d 1368 -9.6% -18.2% 56% 52% -14.0%
≤90d 1368 -9.6% -18.2% 56% 52% -14.0%
all 1368 -9.6% -18.2% 56% 52% -14.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover617.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.2% 52% -14.0%
10% ← realistic here -26.1% 41% -22.2%
15% -33.2% 29% -29.7%
20% -39.8% 20% -36.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $17.84 · official $9.14 · 3500 history records