trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 32 | +11.7% | +1.0% | 62% | 62% | -11.3% |
| ≤30d | 32 | +11.7% | +1.0% | 62% | 62% | -11.3% |
| ≤90d | 32 | +11.7% | +1.0% | 62% | 62% | -11.3% |
| all | 36 | +14.6% | +3.7% | 61% | 61% | -9.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +3.7% | 61% | -9.1% |
| 10% | -6.2% | 56% | -17.8% |
| 15% | -15.3% | 50% | -25.7% |
| 20% | -23.6% | 42% | -33.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 2.5 | Over | 71¢ | 70¢ | $100 | $99 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5 | Over | 30¢ | 30¢ | $40 | $39 | −$1 (-2%) |
| Spread: Netherlands (-3.5) | Netherlands | 32¢ | 32¢ | $30 | $30 | +$0 (+2%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 19¢ | $20 | $24 | +$4 (+20%) |
| Spread: Germany (-1.5) | Ecuador | 62¢ | 62¢ | $20 | $20 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-2.5) | Curaçao | 58¢ | 57¢ | $20 | $20 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 25 | $20 | +$19 | +93% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 25 | $101 | +$33 | +32% |
| Spread: Brazil (-2.5) | Jun 25 | $20 | +$16 | +79% |
| Spread: Morocco (-1.5) | Jun 25 | $30 | +$18 | +60% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 24 | $20 | +$28 | +140% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 24 | $20 | −$20 | -99% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 24 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 24 | $40 | +$22 | +55% |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 24 | $30 | +$15 | +50% |
| Spread: Portugal (-2.5) | Jun 23 | $41 | +$50 | +124% |
| Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $41 | +$62 | +152% |
| Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $41 | −$40 | -99% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $41 | +$55 | +135% |
| Spread: France (-1.5) | Jun 23 | $101 | +$33 | +32% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 22 | $101 | +$48 | +48% |
| Spread: Uruguay (-1.5) | Jun 22 | $203 | −$203 | -100% |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 22 | $101 | +$63 | +62% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $61 | −$60 | -99% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $20 | +$11 | +55% |
| Spread: Japan (-2.5) | Jun 21 | $9 | +$23 | +250% |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $151 | −$150 | -100% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $20 | +$10 | +50% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw? | Jun 20 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | Jun 20 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Spread: Brazil (-3.5) | Jun 20 | $20 | −$20 | -99% |
| Spread: Brazil (-2.5) | Jun 20 | $20 | +$15 | +72% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $171 | +$20 | +12% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Spread: Morocco (-1.5) | Jun 19 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $20 | +$13 | +62% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $201 | +$24 | +12% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | Feb 28 | $30 | +$42 | +140% |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026? | Feb 28 | $20 | +$42 | +212% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February? | Feb 16 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February? | Feb 16 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |