Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:04:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1B
0x1b2c…993f
other · 118 markets active 1h ago
2.0score
+$1,108 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,090 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,483
Realized+$1,090
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)24%
Wins / losses28 / 88
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions2
Markets (closed)116 / 118
History coverage121d
Avg bet$1,362
Trades / day2.3
Drawdown37%
Kalshi-fit63%
Chart Positions 2 History 116 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$16
7 days−$18
14 days−$33
30 days−$50
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? No 98¢ 98¢ $862 $861 −$1 (-0%)
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No 99¢ 99¢ $622 $622 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 13 $6,353 −$7 -0%
Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 13 $2,673 −$4 -0%
Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 12 $1,649 −$2 -0%
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 12 $1,634 −$3 -0%
Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 07 $1,626 −$2 -0%
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 06 $1,371 −$2 -0%
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 04 $1,664 −$3 -0%
Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 04 $6,434 −$7 -0%
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 04 $1,640 −$3 -0%
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 03 $2,563 −$3 -0%
Will Solana dip to $60 in May? Jun 03 $37 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May? Jun 03 $691 +$3 +0%
Will the Miami Marlins win the 2026 World Series? May 31 $1,024 −$1 -0%
Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2026 World Series? May 28 $882 −$1 -0%
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 28 $3,462 −$4 -0%
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 27 $1,236 −$2 -0%
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 27 $985 −$1 -0%
Will Haas be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? May 23 $1,323 −$2 -0%
Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026? May 23 $2,680 −$4 -0%
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 21 $1,529 −$2 -0%
Will Norway win Eurovision 2026? May 07 $1,629 −$2 -0%
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? May 07 $3,201 −$4 -0%
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 06 $1,619 −$3 -0%
Will the Washington Nationals win the 2026 World Series? May 04 $1,266 −$2 -0%
Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 01 $1,560 −$2 -0%
Will Alejandro Davidovich Fokina win the 2026 Men's French Open? Apr 29 $1,351 −$2 -0%
Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Apr 28 $1,543 −$2 -0%
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Apr 22 $1,313 −$1 -0%
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 20 $1,271 $0 +0%
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 19 $2,804 −$3 -0%
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 17 $3,379 −$3 -0%
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 17 $3,455 −$3 -0%
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Apr 16 $1,586 −$2 -0%
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Apr 16 $1,426 −$1 -0%
Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 15 $3,170 −$3 -0%
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Apr 15 $1,403 −$1 -0%
Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 14 $1,689 −$2 -0%
Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 13 $1,664 −$2 -0%
Will Kang Hoon-sik win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Apr 12 $436 $0 -0%
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 12 $1,426 −$1 -0%
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 11 $2,966 −$3 -0%
Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 10 $5,256 −$5 -0%
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 10 $1,517 −$2 -0%
Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 07 $1,523 −$2 -0%
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 06 $4,165 −$5 -0%
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 05 $858 −$1 -0%
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 04 $1,127 −$1 -0%
EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch? Apr 02 $76 $0 +0%
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals? Mar 31 $4,413 −$8 -0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 30? Mar 31 $97 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 45% +$146
politics 33% −$60
sports 13% +$1,013
culture 6% −$12
world 2% −$3
crypto 1% +$3
economics 0% $0
tech 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $622 50m
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on Jun SELL No 98¢ $147 1h
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on Jun SELL No 98¢ $11 1h
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on Jun SELL No 98¢ $168 1h
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on Jun BUY No 98¢ $186 1h
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on Jun SELL No 98¢ $148 1h
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on Jun BUY No 98¢ $426 1h
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on Jun BUY No 98¢ $343 1h
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on Jun BUY No 98¢ $383 1h
Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $1,639 21h
Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $1,641 23h
Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $1,641 24h
Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $1,644 27h
Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $1,647 41h
Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $1,649 46h
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 99¢ $1,631 47h
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $1,634 2d
Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $1,623 6d
Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $1,626 6d
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $1,368 7d
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $1,371 7d
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 99¢ $1,662 9d
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $1,664 9d
Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $1,616 9d
Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $1,618 9d
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $1,638 10d
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $1,640 10d
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $917 10d
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $919 10d
Will the Miami Marlins win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $1,022 14d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +16%
net ROI/market (all)-1.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 -0.1% -9.6% 0% 0% -9.6%
≤30d 20 -0.1% -9.6% 10% 0% -9.6%
≤90d 83 -3.5% -12.7% 14% 7% -9.8%
all 116 +9.4% -1.1% 24% 16% -8.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.3 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -1.1% 16% -8.9%
10% -10.5% 16% -17.6%
15% -19.2% 16% -25.6%
20% -27.1% 16% -32.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,483.02 · official $1,483.02 (match) · 357 history records