trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | -98.1% | -98.3% | 0% | 0% | -95.7% |
| ≤30d | 7 | -73.3% | -75.8% | 14% | 14% | -40.8% |
| ≤90d | 7 | -73.3% | -75.8% | 14% | 14% | -40.8% |
| all | 19 | -59.3% | -63.2% | 16% | 16% | -56.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -63.2% | 16% | -56.6% |
| 10% | -66.7% | 16% | -60.7% |
| 15% | -69.9% | 16% | -64.5% |
| 20% | -72.9% | 16% | -68.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 13¢ | $100 | $115 | +$15 (+15%) |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 6¢ | 6¢ | $50 | $52 | +$2 (+4%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 10¢ | 8¢ | $45 | $38 | −$7 (-16%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5 | Jun 15 | $5 | −$5 | -94% |
| Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Jun 13 | $50 | −$47 | -95% |
| Pep Guardiola out as Manchester City manager by the end of 2026? | May 30 | $35 | +$26 | +75% |
| Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Feb 25 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Will Luis Enrique be appointed as manager of Manchester United? | Jan 17 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Jan 17 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Nov 10 | $47 | −$47 | -100% |
| Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Nov 10 | $47 | −$47 | -100% |
| Will Yuichiro Tamaki be the next Prime Minister of Japan? | Oct 13 | $63 | −$63 | -100% |
| Will Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan? | Oct 13 | $30 | +$33 | +108% |
| WLFI market cap (FDV) $12-14B one day after launch? | Sep 01 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will Manchester City win on 2025-08-31? | Aug 31 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Will Arsenal win on 2025-08-31? | Aug 31 | $89 | −$89 | -100% |
| Will Burnley FC win on 2025-08-30? | Aug 31 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Will Manchester United vs. Burnley FC end in a draw? | Aug 30 | $50 | +$139 | +279% |