Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T12:20:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1B
0x1b1f…61b4
crypto · 426 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$13,947 -77%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$13,936 · open −$11
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$15
Realized−$13,936
Unrealized−$11
Win rate (resolved)17%
Wins / losses101 / 502
Open positions2
Markets (closed)603 / 426
History coverage5d
Avg bet$42
Trades / day726.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 603 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$20,879
7 days−$13,936
14 days−$13,936
30 days−$13,936
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 21¢ 12¢ $21 $11 −$9 (-45%)
Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $5 $3 −$2 (-30%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 12PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $193 $0 −$193 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $71 $0 −$71 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $114 $0 −$114 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 8PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $141 $0 −$141 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $68 $0 −$68 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $135 $0 −$135 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 12PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $193 −$193 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $71 −$71 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $114 −$114 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 8PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $33 −$33 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$187 +636894%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $141 −$141 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $68 −$68 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $135 −$135 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$2 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 2, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $140 −$140 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $60 −$60 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $47 −$47 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $67 −$67 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $71 −$71 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $33 −$33 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $55 −$55 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $105 −$105 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $83 −$83 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $178 −$178 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 2, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - July 26, 8PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $70 −$70 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 10, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $35 −$35 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 1PM ET Jun 13 $85 −$85 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$11,178
other 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $13 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $14 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET SELL Up 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET SELL Up 50¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET SELL Up 50¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET SELL Up 50¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET SELL Up 50¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $39 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +16%
net ROI/market (all)-34.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 603 -27.7% -34.6% 17% 16% -50.3%
≤30d 603 -27.7% -34.6% 17% 16% -50.3%
≤90d 603 -27.7% -34.6% 17% 16% -50.3%
all 603 -27.7% -34.6% 17% 16% -50.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover726.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -34.6% 16% -50.3%
10% ← realistic here -40.8% 16% -55.0%
15% -46.5% 16% -59.4%
20% -51.8% 16% -63.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $15.00 · official $23.00 · 3500 history records