Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T21:28:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1B
0x1b19…cf6d
other · 254 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$90 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$89 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$59
Realized−$89
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)4%
Wins / losses9 / 244
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$7
Open positions1
Markets (closed)253 / 254
History coverage132d
Avg bet$218
Trades / day9.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit63%
Chart Positions 1 History 253 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5
7 days−$17
14 days−$26
30 days−$36
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 99¢ 99¢ $59 $59 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series? Jun 13 $60 $0 -0%
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 13 $134 $0 -0%
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 13 $293 −$1 -0%
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 13 $304 $0 -0%
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $129 $0 -0%
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 12 $122 $0 -0%
Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series? Jun 12 $747 −$1 -0%
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 12 $190 $0 -0%
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 11 $591 −$1 -0%
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 11 $449 −$1 -0%
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $270 −$1 -0%
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 11 $353 −$1 -0%
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2026 World Series? Jun 10 $266 −$1 -0%
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? Jun 10 $335 $0 -0%
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 10 $220 $0 -0%
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 10 $154 $0 -0%
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 09 $125 $0 -0%
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 09 $420 −$1 -0%
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 09 $416 $0 -0%
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series? Jun 08 $494 −$1 -0%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Jun 08 $218 $0 -0%
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 08 $467 −$1 -0%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Jun 08 $321 −$1 -0%
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 07 $422 $0 -0%
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 07 $1,126 −$1 -0%
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 07 $365 −$1 -0%
Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 07 $343 −$1 -0%
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 07 $541 −$1 -0%
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026? Jun 06 $318 −$1 -0%
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 06 $295 −$1 -0%
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 06 $144 $0 -0%
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 06 $245 $0 -0%
Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 05 $167 $0 -0%
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 05 $293 −$2 -0%
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 05 $422 −$1 -0%
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 05 $228 −$1 -0%
Will Minnesota United FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 04 $392 −$1 -0%
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 04 $277 $0 -0%
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 04 $419 $0 -0%
Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 03 $150 $0 -0%
Will New York Red Bulls win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 02 $225 $0 -0%
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 02 $149 $0 -0%
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 01 $301 $0 -0%
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 01 $415 $0 -0%
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? May 31 $445 −$1 -0%
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? May 31 $187 $0 -0%
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? May 30 $539 −$1 -0%
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 30 $365 $0 -0%
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 29 $257 $0 -0%
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? May 27 $540 −$1 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 47% −$41
sports 23% −$19
politics 9% −$9
culture 6% −$8
economics 6% −$4
crypto 4% −$4
world 3% −$4
finance 1% $0
tech 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $59 1h
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $59 1h
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $60 3h
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $60 4h
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $60 5h
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $60 8h
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $60 10h
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $60 16h
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $60 18h
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $60 23h
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $60 24h
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $60 28h
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $60 29h
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 99¢ $60 32h
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 99¢ $60 33h
Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $60 38h
Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $60 40h
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 99¢ $60 42h
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 99¢ $60 43h
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $60 45h
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $60 47h
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? SELL No 98¢ $21 47h
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? SELL No 98¢ $40 2d
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? BUY No 98¢ $61 2d
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $61 2d
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $61 2d
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 99¢ $61 2d
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 99¢ $61 2d
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 98¢ $61 2d
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $61 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 29 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 65 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 184 -0.2% -9.7% 3% 0% -9.7%
all 253 -0.2% -9.7% 4% 0% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.7% 0% -9.7%
10% -18.3% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $59.35 · official $59.35 (match) · 1347 history records