Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T18:39:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1B
0x1b14…106a
crypto · 1720 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$122 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$122 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$122
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses859 / 861
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1720 / 1720
History coverage82d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day20.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1720 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$21
7 days−$43
14 days−$45
30 days−$45
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$3 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +90%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$122
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $6 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 36h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-14.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 106 -23.8% -31.1% 42% 42% -32.5%
≤30d 218 -12.0% -20.4% 48% 47% -20.2%
≤90d 1720 -5.8% -14.8% 50% 50% -15.3%
all 1720 -5.8% -14.8% 50% 50% -15.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover20.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.8% 50% -15.3%
10% ← realistic here -22.9% 50% -23.4%
15% -30.4% 50% -30.8%
20% -37.2% 49% -37.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records