Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T08:27:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1B
0x1b10…5c2d
other · 10 markets active 1d ago
0.5score
+$2 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$39
Realized+$2
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)17%
Wins / losses1 / 5
Open positions4
Markets (closed)6 / 10
History coverage1d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day11.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit10%
Chart Positions 4 History 6 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2
7 days+$2
14 days+$2
30 days+$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+2%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 17¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Yes 49¢ 48¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-3%)
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? Yes 52¢ 50¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-5%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 60¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Yes 24¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $10 +$42 +414%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $10 $0 -4%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -99%
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 90% +$2
crypto 10% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 16¢ $10 25h
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 17¢ $10 25h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 62¢ $10 25h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $10 30h
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 52¢ $10 40h
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 49¢ $10 40h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 19¢ $10 40h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 60¢ $10 40h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 6¢ $10 40h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 24¢ $10 40h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $10 40h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +17%
net ROI/market (all)-8.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 +1.7% -8.0% 17% 17% -6.5%
≤30d 6 +1.7% -8.0% 17% 17% -6.5%
≤90d 6 +1.7% -8.0% 17% 17% -6.5%
all 6 +1.7% -8.0% 17% 17% -6.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover11.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.0% 17% -6.5%
10% -16.8% 17% -15.5%
15% -24.9% 17% -23.6%
20% -32.2% 17% -31.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $39.22 · official $39.22 (match) · 13 history records