trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤90d | no closed markets | |||||
| all | 33 | -22.0% | -29.5% | 21% | 3% | -30.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -29.5% | 3% | -30.4% |
| 10% | -36.2% | 3% | -37.1% |
| 15% | -42.4% | 3% | -43.2% |
| 20% | -48.0% | 3% | -48.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $330 | $330 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $320 | $320 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $290 | $290 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orioles vs. Guardians | Jul 21 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Thunder vs. Pacers | Jul 09 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Hong Joon-pyo be elected the next president of South Korea? | Jul 09 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the Washington Capitals win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | May 13 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | May 12 | $6 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Czechia win Eurovision 2025? | May 08 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | May 07 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany? | May 05 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea? | May 02 | $4 | $0 | -1% |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Apr 30 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League? | Apr 28 | $1 | $0 | -3% |
| Arsenal wins the Premier League? | Apr 23 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany? | Apr 22 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League? | Apr 17 | $1 | $0 | -1% |
| Liverpool wins the Premier League? | Apr 16 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bayern Munich win the UEFA Champions League? | Apr 09 | $5 | $0 | -1% |
| Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Apr 08 | $1 | $0 | -3% |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Apr 07 | $1 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League? | Apr 03 | $1 | $0 | -4% |
| Will XRP dip to $1.50 in March? | Mar 31 | $11 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 28 | $3 | $0 | -3% |
| Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 24 | $3 | $0 | -14% |
| Will Elon tweet 800 or more times March 7-14? | Mar 17 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2025 President’s Trophy? | Mar 17 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will another person win the 2024 World Blitz Championship? | Jan 04 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Bruins vs. Rangers | Jan 03 | $104 | −$104 | -100% |
| Ethena USDe flips USDC market cap in 2024? | Jan 01 | $20 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Milady flip BAYC in 2024? | Jan 01 | $21 | $0 | +0% |
| Ethena crash in 2024? | Jan 01 | $21 | $0 | +0% |
| Tether Insolvent in 2024? | Jan 01 | $22 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Berachain launch in 2024? | Jan 01 | $30 | $0 | +0% |
| Texas Tech vs. Arkansas | Dec 30 | $116 | −$116 | -100% |
| Heat vs. Magic | Dec 27 | $103 | +$112 | +108% |