trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 9 | -100.0% | -100.0% | 0% | 0% | -100.0% |
| ≤90d | 147 | -6.5% | -15.4% | 52% | 51% | -20.5% |
| all | 147 | -6.5% | -15.4% | 52% | 51% | -20.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -15.4% | 51% | -20.5% |
| 10% | -23.5% | 48% | -28.1% |
| 15% | -30.9% | 48% | -35.1% |
| 20% | -37.7% | 44% | -41.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24? | Yes | 42¢ | 42¢ | $1,446 | $1,428 | −$17 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $405 | −$400 | -99% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5 | Jun 05 | $203 | −$200 | -98% |
| Spread: Spurs (-5.5) | Jun 03 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 31 | $3,032 | −$3,000 | -99% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 29 | $506 | −$500 | -99% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5 | May 28 | $304 | −$300 | -99% |
| Spread: Thunder (-5.5) | May 26 | $254 | −$250 | -99% |
| Spread: Knicks (-1.5) | May 25 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers | May 25 | $203 | −$200 | -98% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5 | May 24 | $152 | −$150 | -99% |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5) | May 24 | $152 | +$148 | +97% |
| Spread: Spurs (-2.5) | May 22 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Spread: Spurs (-1.5) | May 22 | $101 | −$100 | -99% |
| Spread: Knicks (-5.5) | May 22 | $162 | +$158 | +97% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5 | May 20 | $152 | −$150 | -98% |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5 | May 20 | $203 | +$182 | +90% |
| Spread: Thunder (-6.5) | May 19 | $152 | +$148 | +97% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 205.5 | May 18 | $176 | +$185 | +105% |
| Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5 | May 16 | $120 | −$119 | -99% |
| Spread: Spurs (-5.5) | May 16 | $152 | +$131 | +86% |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5) | May 16 | $352 | +$315 | +90% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 212.5 | May 14 | $203 | −$149 | -73% |
| Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5 | May 13 | $164 | +$136 | +83% |
| Pistons vs. Cavaliers | May 12 | $213 | +$137 | +65% |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 218.5 | May 10 | $155 | −$153 | -99% |
| Knicks vs. 76ers | May 10 | $97 | −$96 | -98% |
| Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 210.5 | May 10 | $264 | +$236 | +90% |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5) | May 09 | $149 | −$147 | -98% |
| Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 213.5 | May 08 | $207 | −$204 | -99% |
| Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 211.5 | May 08 | $155 | +$145 | +93% |
| Spread: Pistons (-3.5) | May 08 | $103 | +$97 | +93% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 215.5 | May 07 | $158 | −$156 | -99% |
| Spread: Knicks (-7.5) | May 06 | $114 | −$112 | -99% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | May 06 | $203 | +$137 | +67% |
| Spread: Thunder (-14.5) | May 06 | $48 | −$47 | -98% |
| 76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 211.5 | May 05 | $142 | +$118 | +83% |
| Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5 | May 04 | $127 | −$125 | -98% |
| Spread: Pistons (-8.5) | May 04 | $103 | +$97 | +93% |
| Raptors vs. Cavaliers | May 03 | $41 | −$40 | -98% |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5) | May 03 | $78 | −$76 | -99% |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5) | May 03 | $72 | −$70 | -98% |
| 76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 206.5 | May 03 | $96 | +$104 | +108% |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5) | May 02 | $97 | +$103 | +105% |
| Spread: Pistons (-4.5) | May 02 | $95 | +$105 | +109% |
| Spread: Rockets (-3.5) | May 02 | $62 | −$62 | -99% |
| Spread: Nuggets (-7.5) | May 01 | $105 | +$95 | +90% |
| Knicks vs. Hawks | May 01 | $144 | +$106 | +73% |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5) | Apr 30 | $26 | −$26 | -99% |
| Spread: Pistons (-9.5) | Apr 30 | $6 | −$5 | -98% |
| Spread: Lakers (-2.5) | Apr 30 | $101 | −$100 | -99% |