Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T07:59:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1A
0x1aed…46ff
crypto · 556 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$66 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$83 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$83
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses229 / 327
Open positions0
Markets (closed)556 / 556
History coverage100d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day7.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 556 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$17
7 days−$17
14 days−$17
30 days−$17
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$3 -63%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$2 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$3 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$2 -51%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$3 +186%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +85%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$4 +233%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +73%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$3 +223%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$3 +203%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$3 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$2 -51%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 88% −$104
other 5% +$37
politics 4% +$5
finance 2% +$9
culture 1% −$20
world 1% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $3 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET SELL Down 36¢ $2 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 52m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $3 53m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET SELL Up 18¢ $1 53m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $0 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $2 58m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 58m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET SELL Down 48¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET SELL Up 43¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-16.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 107 -9.3% -18.0% 46% 46% -14.8%
≤30d 107 -9.3% -18.0% 46% 46% -14.8%
≤90d 552 -8.2% -17.0% 41% 41% -17.2%
all 556 -8.0% -16.8% 41% 41% -14.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.8 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -16.8% 41% -14.2%
10% -24.7% 40% -22.4%
15% -32.0% 38% -29.9%
20% -38.7% 34% -36.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1358 history records