Wallet analysis

2026-06-19T08:42:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
1A 0x1ae3…6295 crypto 50 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (60 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! concentrated profit (few bets)
Total PnL +$20 (+1%) realized +$20 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR8%break-even
Win rate94%47W / 3L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$33per market
Trades / day59.8pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$18
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (60 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +8%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 50 -0.2% -9.7% 94% 8% -8.5%
≤30d 50 -0.2% -9.7% 94% 8% -8.5%
≤90d 50 -0.2% -9.7% 94% 8% -8.5%
all 50 -0.2% -9.7% 94% 8% -8.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover59.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.7% 8% -8.5%
10% ← realistic here -18.3% 6% -17.3%
15% -26.2% 2% -25.3%
20% -33.5% 2% -32.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 39% · top 2 50% concentrated in a few bets
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
91% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt +1% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -2% → late +1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$12 · ×0.09 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.48 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$20
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)94%
Wins / losses47 / 3
Open positions0
Markets (closed)50 / 50
History coverage1d
Avg bet$33
Trades / day59.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 50 Trades
no open positions (2 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 19 $28 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 19 $32 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 19 $37 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 19 $34 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 19 $33 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 19 $37 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 19 $22 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 19 $27 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 19 $37 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 19 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 19 $37 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 19 $35 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 19 $17 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 19 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 19 $43 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 19 $25 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 19 $16 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 19 $43 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 19 $43 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 19 $43 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 18 $33 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 18 $29 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 18 $26 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 18 $37 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 18 $29 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 18 $34 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 18 $41 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 18 $37 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 18 $43 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 18 $37 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 18 $37 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 18 $33 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 18 $37 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 18 $26 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 18 $43 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 18 $37 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 18 $43 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 18 $37 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 18 $62 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 18 $37 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 18 $37 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 18 $38 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 18 $25 +$6 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 18 $20 +$6 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 18 $26 +$21 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 18 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 18 $36 −$8 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 18 $4 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 18 $56 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 18 $25 −$25 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $28 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $32 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $37 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $34 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $33 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $37 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $27 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $22 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $37 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $37 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $35 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $17 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $25 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $43 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $16 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $43 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $43 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $43 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $33 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $29 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $26 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $37 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $29 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $34 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $41 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $37 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $43 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $37 14h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 111 history records