Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T12:43:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1A
0x1abc…45e7
weather · 474 markets active 0h ago
2.0score
+$66,520 +816%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$68,332 · open −$6,482
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY weather specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$18,174
Realized+$68,332
Unrealized−$6,482
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses298 / 6
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions498
Markets (closed)304 / 474
History coverage1d
Avg bet$17
Trades / day1482.4
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 498 History 304 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$68,332
7 days+$68,332
14 days+$68,332
30 days+$68,332
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026? Yes 45¢ 88¢ $257 $509 +$252 (+98%)
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 31°C on June 12? Yes 86¢ 88¢ $308 $316 +$8 (+3%)
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 8 and June 14, 2026? No 85¢ 99¢ $263 $306 +$43 (+16%)
Will New Zealand win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 0¢ 96¢ $0 $302 +$302 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 12? No 98¢ 100¢ $271 $274 +$3 (+1%)
Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 88¢ 87¢ $275 $273 −$3 (-1%)
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on June 12? Yes 0¢ 92¢ $0 $271 +$271 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on June 12? Yes 40¢ 100¢ $107 $266 +$160 (+150%)
Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 0¢ 84¢ $0 $265 +$265 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 12? No 0¢ 95¢ $0 $262 +$262 (+0%)
Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be between 1% and 1.5%? Yes 0¢ 43¢ $0 $258 +$258 (+0%)
Will Rick Jackson win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election? No 0¢ 58¢ $0 $251 +$251 (+0%)
Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be below 1%? Yes 43¢ 34¢ $265 $212 −$52 (-20%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 12? No 86¢ 86¢ $204 $205 +$1 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on June 12? Yes 93¢ 100¢ $188 $201 +$14 (+7%)
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 12? Yes 98¢ 84¢ $226 $194 −$31 (-14%)
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-3 be the exact series outcome? No 94¢ 90¢ $192 $184 −$8 (-4%)
Will White House post 160-179 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026? No 26¢ 99¢ $45 $172 +$127 (+280%)
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 12? Yes 0¢ 94¢ $0 $171 +$171 (+0%)
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22? No 0¢ 97¢ $0 $169 +$169 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 12? No 56¢ 61¢ $152 $165 +$14 (+9%)
Will Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-3 be the exact series outcome? No 87¢ 80¢ $178 $164 −$13 (-7%)
Will White House post 200+ posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026? No 99¢ 100¢ $161 $162 +$1 (+1%)
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026? No 79¢ 87¢ $145 $160 +$15 (+10%)
Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw? No 0¢ 90¢ $0 $158 +$158 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on May 25? Jun 12 $3 +$27 +861%
Will Wuhan San Zhen FC win on 2026-05-31? Jun 12 $0 +$14 —%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on June 12? Jun 12 $6 +$41 +732%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on June 12? Jun 12 $0 +$15 +47538%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 12? Jun 12 $2 +$11 +443%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 12? Jun 12 $0 +$13 +11762%
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on June 12? Jun 12 $2 +$52 +3356%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 12? Jun 12 $16 +$134 +817%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C or higher on June 12 Jun 12 $12 +$146 +1212%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 33°C on June 12? Jun 12 $6 +$134 +2199%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 12? Jun 12 $2 +$100 +4511%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on June 12? Jun 12 $1 +$24 +2078%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 12? Jun 12 $38 +$811 +2138%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 12? Jun 12 $0 +$82 +91879%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on June 12? Jun 12 $10 +$72 +715%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on June 12? Jun 12 $9 +$37 +430%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on June 12? Jun 12 $16 +$30 +180%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on June 12? Jun 12 $58 +$238 +413%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 12? Jun 12 $5 +$153 +2901%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on June 12? Jun 12 $7 +$43 +611%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on June 12? Jun 12 $21 +$29 +133%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on June 12? Jun 12 $5 +$48 +919%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on June 12? Jun 12 $22 +$134 +621%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 34°C on June 12? Jun 12 $0 +$34 +10696%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on June 12? Jun 12 $2 +$132 +5831%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 12? Jun 12 $9 +$294 +3167%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on June 12? Jun 12 $37 +$121 +330%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on June 12? Jun 12 $37 +$125 +336%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 13? Jun 12 $15 $0 -1%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on June 12? Jun 12 $36 +$79 +218%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on Jun Jun 12 $5 +$59 +1146%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on Jun Jun 12 $11 +$54 +498%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on Jun Jun 12 $2 +$62 +2915%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 12? Jun 12 $30 +$552 +1853%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 39°C on June 12? Jun 12 $48 +$61 +128%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 12? Jun 12 $27 +$678 +2514%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on June 12? Jun 12 $25 +$174 +710%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on June 12? Jun 12 $27 +$353 +1317%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 12? Jun 12 $78 +$1,191 +1520%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on June 12? Jun 12 $5 +$70 +1502%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 12? Jun 12 $27 +$608 +2280%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on June 12? Jun 12 $5 +$36 +750%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 12? Jun 12 $16 +$510 +3170%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on June 11? Jun 12 $19 −$11 -60%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on June 11? Jun 12 $9 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 12? Jun 12 $2 +$143 +5832%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on June 12? Jun 12 $26 −$5 -20%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 12? Jun 12 $43 +$63 +147%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 12? Jun 12 $25 +$201 +793%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 12? Jun 12 $32 +$147 +462%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 71% −$7,710
weather 29% +$69,518
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on June 12? BUY Yes 2¢ $0 0m
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on June 12? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 0m
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on June 12? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 0m
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on Ju BUY No 48¢ $17 1m
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on Ju BUY Yes 10¢ $1 3m
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $8 3m
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on June 12? BUY No 82¢ $5 3m
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $7 4m
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $30 4m
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 6m
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 12? BUY Yes 50¢ $8 8m
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 12? BUY Yes 43¢ $7 8m
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 32°C on June 12? BUY No 90¢ $3 12m
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on June 13? BUY Yes 21¢ $1 13m
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C or higher on June 12? BUY Yes 6¢ $0 15m
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 12? BUY No 7¢ $0 16m
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $8 20m
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $6 21m
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 14? BUY Yes 15¢ $1 25m
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $16 25m
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $3 25m
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 12? SELL Yes 100¢ $117 25m
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on June 12? SELL Yes 100¢ $524 25m
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C or higher on June 12 BUY No 100¢ $5 28m
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 28m
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on June 12? BUY Yes 73¢ $4 31m
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $48 35m
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $52 40m
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C or higher on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $6 40m
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on June 12? BUY Yes 10¢ $1 41m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +97%
net ROI/market (all)+1069.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 304 +1192.2% +1069.2% 98% 97% +720.8%
≤30d 304 +1192.2% +1069.2% 98% 97% +720.8%
≤90d 304 +1192.2% +1069.2% 98% 97% +720.8%
all 304 +1192.2% +1069.2% 98% 97% +720.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1482.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +1069.2% 97% +720.8%
10% ← realistic here +957.3% 97% +642.2%
15% +855.1% 97% +570.5%
20% +761.5% 96% +504.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $18,174.12 · official $21,226.54 · 3500 history records