Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T14:57:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
1A 0x1ab8…1b4a sports 74 markets active 12h ago coverage 2d ⚠
BOTnot copyable sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 2d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (1501 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$35,634 (-15%) realized −$35,634 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -16% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -42% what you keep after slip
Net edge-42%after slip
Net WR25%break-even
Win rate44%45W / 57L
Whale WR54%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$3,270per market
Trades / day1500.8pace
Fees−$2,650est.
Kalshi-fit79%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
sports 83% −$8,768
other 12% +$3,136
crypto 3% +$964
world 3% −$2,640
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (1501 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-24.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 102 -16.4% -24.4% 44% 25% -25.7%
≤30d 102 -16.4% -24.4% 44% 25% -25.7%
≤90d 102 -16.4% -24.4% 44% 25% -25.7%
all 102 -16.4% -24.4% 44% 25% -25.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover1500.8 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -24.4% 25% -25.7%
10% -31.6% 14% -32.8%
15% ← realistic here -38.2% 9% -39.3%
20% -44.3% 3% -45.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 13% · top 2 22% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -20% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
42% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -16% · $-wt -20% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 54% (≥$4,236) neutral
Persistence
early +25% → late -58% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
31.2 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$671 vs −$1,620 · ×0.41 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.33 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$35,634
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses45 / 57
Whale WR (big bets)54%
Est. fees paid−$2,650
Open positions0
Markets (closed)102 / 74
History coverage2d ⚠
Avg bet$3,270
Trades / day1500.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit79%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 102 Trades
no open positions (32 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Alexandra Eala Jun 16 $49 −$49 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi Jun 16 $8,148 −$3,635 -45%
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Dino Prizmic Jun 16 $7,065 −$6,945 -98%
Roland Garros ATP: Luca Van Assche vs Brandon Nakashima Jun 16 $2,518 −$2,515 -100%
Foggia: Despina Papamichail vs Chloe Paquet Jun 16 $256 −$316 -124%
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Brandon Nakashima Jun 16 $44 −$65 -146%
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev Jun 16 $390 −$475 -122%
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta Jun 16 $24,284 −$24,642 -102%
Roland Garros ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Andrey Rublev Jun 16 $765 −$902 -118%
Perugia: Andrea Pellegrino vs Roberto Carballes Baena Jun 16 $408 −$287 -70%
Birmingham: Alexandra Eala vs Nikola Bartunkova Jun 16 $968 −$1,311 -136%
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Oleksandra Oliynykova Jun 16 $26 −$26 -100%
Makarska: Maria Timofeeva vs Erika Andreeva Jun 16 $40 −$40 -100%
France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5 Jun 16 $79 −$72 -92%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 Jun 16 $618 −$757 -123%
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Belinda Bencic Jun 16 $2,461 −$2,463 -100%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Antonia Ruzic Jun 16 $86 −$86 -100%
England vs. Ukraine: O/U 4.5 Jun 16 $42 −$52 -125%
Roland Garros WTA: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Kimberly Birrell Jun 16 $68 −$68 -100%
Libema Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Suzan Lamens Jun 16 $726 −$726 -100%
Stuttgart Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 16 $14 −$14 -100%
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs James Duckworth Jun 16 $283 −$283 -100%
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Paula Badosa Jun 16 $265 −$192 -73%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 16 $2,563 −$2,561 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Facundo Acosta vs Learner Tien Jun 16 $1,984 −$1,602 -81%
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Raphael Collignon Jun 16 $2,419 −$1,851 -76%
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Jun 16 $2,298 −$2,857 -124%
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? Jun 16 $93 −$80 -87%
Exact Score: IR Iran 2 - 2 New Zealand? Jun 16 $4,497 −$2,084 -46%
Exact Score: IR Iran 1 - 2 New Zealand? Jun 16 $325 −$238 -73%
Exact Score: IR Iran 1 - 1 New Zealand? Jun 16 $1,542 −$319 -21%
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 4.5 Jun 16 $15,923 +$4,024 +25%
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 3.5 Jun 16 $8,759 +$2,749 +31%
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 2.5 Jun 16 $5,515 +$2,511 +46%
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 5.5 Jun 16 $213 −$150 -71%
Exact Score: Saudi Arabia 1 - 1 Uruguay? Jun 16 $2,424 +$402 +17%
Exact Score: Saudi Arabia 1 - 0 Uruguay? Jun 16 $303 +$26 +9%
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 3.5 Jun 16 $3,427 −$295 -9%
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 2.5 Jun 16 $8,575 −$150 -2%
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 4.5 Jun 16 $2,733 +$81 +3%
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 5.5 Jun 16 $1,835 +$18 +1%
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 1.5 Jun 16 $295 −$243 -82%
Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 1 Egypt? Jun 15 $5,530 +$682 +12%
Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 1 Egypt? Jun 15 $3,187 +$470 +15%
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 5.5 Jun 15 $768 +$43 +6%
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 4.5 Jun 15 $7,259 −$37 -0%
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5 Jun 15 $9,303 −$3,602 -39%
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5 Jun 15 $1,545 −$60 -4%
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5 Jun 15 $11,543 −$4,617 -40%
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Cabo Verde? Jun 15 $1,397 −$1,239 -89%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: IR Iran 2 - 2 New Zealand? BUY Yes 98¢ $144 11h
Exact Score: IR Iran 2 - 2 New Zealand? SELL No 3¢ $7 11h
Exact Score: IR Iran 2 - 2 New Zealand? SELL No 3¢ $6 11h
Exact Score: IR Iran 2 - 2 New Zealand? SELL No 3¢ $15 11h
Exact Score: IR Iran 2 - 2 New Zealand? SELL No 3¢ $15 11h
Exact Score: IR Iran 2 - 2 New Zealand? SELL No 3¢ $15 11h
Exact Score: IR Iran 2 - 2 New Zealand? SELL No 3¢ $15 11h
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 95¢ $1 11h
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 95¢ $200 11h
Exact Score: IR Iran 2 - 2 New Zealand? SELL No 8¢ $0 11h
Exact Score: IR Iran 2 - 2 New Zealand? SELL No 8¢ $6 11h
Exact Score: IR Iran 2 - 2 New Zealand? BUY No 10¢ $1 11h
Exact Score: IR Iran 2 - 2 New Zealand? SELL No 17¢ $15 11h
Exact Score: IR Iran 2 - 2 New Zealand? SELL No 17¢ $81 11h
Exact Score: IR Iran 2 - 2 New Zealand? SELL No 17¢ $7 11h
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 4.5 SELL Under 84¢ $149 11h
Exact Score: IR Iran 2 - 2 New Zealand? BUY No 19¢ $4 11h
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 4.5 SELL Under 74¢ $72 12h
Exact Score: IR Iran 2 - 2 New Zealand? BUY No 25¢ $3 12h
Exact Score: IR Iran 2 - 2 New Zealand? BUY No 25¢ $2 12h
Exact Score: IR Iran 2 - 2 New Zealand? BUY No 25¢ $4 12h
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 4.5 SELL Under 76¢ $371 12h
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 4.5 SELL Under 76¢ $371 12h
Exact Score: IR Iran 2 - 2 New Zealand? BUY No 26¢ $131 12h
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 70¢ $342 12h
Exact Score: IR Iran 2 - 2 New Zealand? BUY No 29¢ $8 12h
Exact Score: IR Iran 2 - 2 New Zealand? BUY No 29¢ $0 12h
Exact Score: IR Iran 2 - 2 New Zealand? BUY No 29¢ $12 12h
Exact Score: IR Iran 2 - 2 New Zealand? BUY No 29¢ $4 12h
Exact Score: IR Iran 2 - 2 New Zealand? BUY No 29¢ $20 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records