trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 24 | +29.8% | +17.4% | 21% | 21% | +4.8% |
| ≤30d | 24 | +29.8% | +17.4% | 21% | 21% | +4.8% |
| ≤90d | 24 | +29.8% | +17.4% | 21% | 21% | +4.8% |
| all | 24 | +29.8% | +17.4% | 21% | 21% | +4.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | +17.4% | 21% | +4.8% |
| 10% ← realistic here | +6.2% | 21% | -5.2% |
| 15% | -4.1% | 21% | -14.4% |
| 20% | -13.5% | 21% | -22.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16? | Yes | 7¢ | 8¢ | $70 | $79 | +$9 (+12%) |
| Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? | Yes | 13¢ | 18¢ | $20 | $27 | +$7 (+33%) |
| Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 71¢ | 72¢ | $22 | $22 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 11¢ | 10¢ | $20 | $19 | −$1 (-5%) |
| Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 63¢ | 62¢ | $14 | $13 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 32¢ | 30¢ | $13 | $12 | −$1 (-5%) |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 72¢ | 72¢ | $12 | $11 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16? | Yes | 12¢ | 12¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-4%) |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 57¢ | 56¢ | $8 | $7 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Panama win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 28¢ | 28¢ | $5 | $5 | +$0 (+2%) |
| Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw? | Yes | 21¢ | 20¢ | $4 | $4 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | Yes | 17¢ | 16¢ | $4 | $4 | −$0 (-3%) |
| Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 20¢ | 18¢ | $4 | $4 | −$1 (-13%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $255 | −$96 | -38% |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $499 | −$202 | -40% |
| Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026? | Jun 16 | $5 | $0 | -7% |
| Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 16 | $7 | $0 | -5% |
| Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 16 | $13 | −$1 | -6% |
| Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 16 | $14 | −$1 | -8% |
| Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $211 | −$211 | -100% |
| Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $58 | +$110 | +189% |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $211 | −$166 | -79% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET | Jun 16 | $105 | −$100 | -95% |
| Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $64 | +$176 | +276% |
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $1,065 | −$848 | -80% |
| Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $464 | +$442 | +95% |
| Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $53 | +$720 | +1348% |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $43 | −$21 | -49% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on June 15? | Jun 15 | $127 | −$88 | -69% |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $21 | −$20 | -94% |
| Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 15 | $53 | −$53 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET | Jun 15 | $54 | −$54 | -100% |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $116 | +$96 | +82% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $112 | −$28 | -25% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $203 | −$185 | -91% |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $8 | −$3 | -38% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on June 16? | Jun 15 | $129 | −$26 | -20% |