Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:29:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1A
0x1aa2…30cc
sports · 826 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$162,861 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$164,201 · open +$1,340
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2,831
Realized−$164,201
Unrealized+$1,340
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses383 / 475
Whale WR (big bets)50%
Est. fees paid−$5,935
Open positions4
Markets (closed)858 / 826
History coverage113d
Avg bet$1,848
Trades / day26.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit76%
Chart Positions 4 History 858 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$60,439
7 days−$81,924
14 days−$82,244
30 days−$97,871
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Spread: Washington Mystics (-2.5) Washington Mystics 47¢ 94¢ $908 $1,815 +$907 (+100%)
Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics Washington Mystics 49¢ 92¢ $500 $934 +$434 (+87%)
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-9.5) Golden State Valkyries 50¢ 50¢ $81 $82 +$1 (+1%)
Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 170.5 Over 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-99%)
Portland Timbers vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 3.5 Over 41¢ 0¢ $1,107 $0 −$1,107 (-100%)
Will Portugal win on 2026-03-31? No 37¢ 0¢ $2,400 $0 −$2,400 (-100%)
Pistons vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5 Under 51¢ 0¢ $2,184 $0 −$2,184 (-100%)
Spread: Nuggets (-6.5) Nuggets 50¢ 0¢ $2,300 $0 −$2,300 (-100%)
AC Milan vs. Cagliari Calcio: Both Teams to Score No 59¢ 0¢ $157 $0 −$157 (-100%)
AC Milan vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5 Under 50¢ 0¢ $3,000 $0 −$3,000 (-100%)
Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5 Over 48¢ 0¢ $5,000 $0 −$5,000 (-100%)
Spread: Trail Blazers (-15.5) Nets 49¢ 0¢ $1,900 $0 −$1,900 (-100%)
Spread: Suns (-8.5) Pacers 47¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Spread: Lakers (-13.5) Jazz 49¢ 0¢ $1,970 $0 −$1,970 (-100%)
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24? Yes 51¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Will West Bromwich Albion FC win on 2026-02-24? Yes 52¢ 0¢ $400 $0 −$400 (-100%)
Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-04-11? Yes 51¢ 0¢ $4,000 $0 −$4,000 (-100%)
Jazz vs. Suns: O/U 232.5 Under 49¢ 0¢ $900 $0 −$900 (-100%)
Pacers vs. Magic: O/U 232.5 Under 46¢ 0¢ $1,260 $0 −$1,260 (-100%)
Clippers vs. Mavericks: O/U 233.5 Under 50¢ 0¢ $1,000 $0 −$1,000 (-100%)
Racing Club vs. Caracas FC: Both Teams to Score No 72¢ 0¢ $4,040 $0 −$4,040 (-100%)
Slovakia vs. Kosovo: Both Teams to Score No 55¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Will Once Caldas win on 2026-04-20? No 52¢ 0¢ $148 $0 −$148 (-100%)
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5 Under 48¢ 0¢ $3,200 $0 −$3,200 (-100%)
Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-4.5) Los Angeles Sparks 47¢ 0¢ $2,700 $0 −$2,700 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Pistons vs. Hornets: O/U 222.5 Jun 13 $1,500 −$1,500 -100%
76ers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 228.5 Jun 13 $500 −$500 -100%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $5,661 −$5,661 -100%
Eintracht Braunschweig vs. SV Darmstadt 98: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $800 −$800 -100%
Spread: 76ers (-3.5) Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
Spread: Nets (-4.5) Jun 13 $1,600 −$1,600 -100%
Pisa SC vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $1,400 −$1,400 -100%
Spread: Knicks (-11.5) Jun 13 $1,000 −$1,000 -100%
Cavaliers vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5 Jun 13 $510 −$510 -100%
76ers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 229.5 Jun 13 $1,700 −$1,700 -100%
Mavericks vs. Suns: O/U 227.5 Jun 13 $1,813 −$1,813 -100%
Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5) Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Mavericks vs. Suns: O/U 226.5 Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Will Stade de Reims win on 2026-02-14? Jun 13 $500 −$500 -100%
Mavericks vs. Lakers: O/U 237.5 Jun 13 $3,000 −$3,000 -100%
Bulls vs. Nets: O/U 218.5 Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
Paris FC vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $1,390 −$1,390 -100%
Spread: Rockets (-8.5) Jun 13 $700 −$700 -100%
Will TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf win on 2026-02-13? Jun 13 $1,500 −$1,500 -100%
Spread: Nets (-6.5) Jun 13 $767 −$767 -100%
Spread: Bulls (-4.5) Jun 13 $606 −$606 -100%
Spread: Warriors (-9.5) Jun 13 $3,754 −$3,754 -100%
Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5) Jun 13 $2,100 −$2,100 -100%
Spread: Rockets (-8.5) Jun 13 $500 −$500 -100%
Spread: Knicks (-4.5) Jun 13 $3,600 −$3,600 -100%
Jazz vs. Heat: O/U 240.5 Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. KRC Genk: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $1,000 −$1,000 -100%
SG Dynamo Dresden vs. SV 07 Elversberg: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $18 −$18 -100%
Spread: Pistons (-1.5) Jun 13 $2,500 −$2,500 -100%
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-14? Jun 13 $6,200 −$6,200 -100%
Trail Blazers vs. Jazz: O/U 234.5 Jun 13 $3,000 −$3,000 -100%
Spread: Celtics (-12.5) Jun 13 $500 −$500 -100%
Rockets vs. Hornets: O/U 217.5 Jun 13 $3,600 −$3,600 -100%
Olympique de Marseille vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $1,540 −$1,540 -100%
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $900 −$900 -100%
Cesena FC vs. Venezia FC: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 164.5 Jun 11 $89 −$88 -98%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score Jun 11 $5,875 −$5,768 -98%
Bolivia vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $367 −$361 -98%
Connecticut Sun vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 166.5 Jun 10 $152 −$150 -98%
Connecticut Sun vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 167.5 Jun 10 $4,872 −$4,800 -98%
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-8.5) Jun 10 $95 +$87 +92%
Dallas Wings vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 172.5 Jun 10 $102 +$111 +109%
Dallas Wings vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 171.5 Jun 10 $202 +$215 +107%
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-8.5) Jun 09 $5,020 −$4,948 -99%
Seattle Storm vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 162.5 Jun 08 $7,555 −$7,441 -98%
Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-8.5) Jun 08 $2 +$2 +90%
Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-7.5) Jun 07 $4,262 −$4,200 -99%
Atlanta Dream vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 173.5 Jun 04 $5,684 −$5,600 -98%
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-7.5) Jun 03 $3,687 +$3,876 +105%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 75% −$104,821
other 25% −$1,105
world 0% −$2,352
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics BUY Washington Mystics 49¢ $508 2h
Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 170.5 BUY Over 50¢ $1 2h
Spread: Washington Mystics (-2.5) BUY Washington Mystics 47¢ $67 2h
Spread: Washington Mystics (-2.5) BUY Washington Mystics 47¢ $610 2h
Spread: Washington Mystics (-2.5) BUY Washington Mystics 48¢ $100 4h
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-9.5) BUY Golden State Valkyries 50¢ $31 5h
Spread: Washington Mystics (-2.5) BUY Washington Mystics 48¢ $42 5h
Spread: Washington Mystics (-2.5) BUY Washington Mystics 48¢ $100 6h
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-9.5) BUY Golden State Valkyries 50¢ $50 6h
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 164.5 BUY Under 47¢ $8 27h
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 164.5 BUY Under 47¢ $81 27h
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 38¢ $204 30h
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 38¢ $1,019 30h
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 38¢ $1,019 30h
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 38¢ $1,019 30h
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 38¢ $1,019 30h
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 38¢ $1,019 30h
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 38¢ $289 30h
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 38¢ $289 30h
Bolivia vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 41¢ $62 2d
Bolivia vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 41¢ $102 2d
Bolivia vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 41¢ $102 2d
Bolivia vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 41¢ $102 2d
Connecticut Sun vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 166.5 BUY Under 48¢ $102 2d
Connecticut Sun vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 166.5 BUY Under 47¢ $51 2d
Connecticut Sun vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 167.5 BUY Under 50¢ $609 2d
Connecticut Sun vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 167.5 BUY Under 50¢ $609 2d
Connecticut Sun vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 167.5 BUY Under 50¢ $609 2d
Connecticut Sun vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 167.5 BUY Under 50¢ $609 2d
Connecticut Sun vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 167.5 BUY Under 50¢ $609 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-18.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 48 -83.4% -85.0% 8% 8% -99.1%
≤30d 124 -32.2% -38.6% 35% 35% -50.6%
≤90d 607 -14.8% -23.0% 42% 42% -24.9%
all 858 -9.9% -18.5% 45% 44% -19.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover26.9 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.5% 44% -19.0%
10% -26.3% 44% -26.8%
15% ← realistic here -33.4% 44% -33.8%
20% -39.9% 44% -40.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2,830.88 · official $2,830.88 (match) · 3500 history records