Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T15:07:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1A
0x1a9a…1609
crypto · 1154 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$211 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$211 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$211
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)90%
Wins / losses1037 / 117
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1154 / 1154
History coverage19d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day105.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1154 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$35
7 days+$14
14 days+$18
30 days−$211
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$8 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $19 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$261
sports 0% +$48
other 0% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $8 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $5 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $6 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $12 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $6 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +18%
net ROI/market (all)-9.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 704 +0.5% -9.1% 90% 20% -9.0%
≤30d 1154 -0.3% -9.8% 90% 18% -12.0%
≤90d 1154 -0.3% -9.8% 90% 18% -12.0%
all 1154 -0.3% -9.8% 90% 18% -12.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover105.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.8% 18% -12.0%
10% ← realistic here -18.4% 8% -20.4%
15% -26.3% 4% -28.1%
20% -33.6% 3% -35.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records