Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T09:20:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1A
0x1a97…d673
crypto · 16 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$16 -58%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$16 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Chart Positions 1 History 15 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$16
7 days−$16
14 days−$16
30 days−$16
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Up 35¢ 100¢ $1 $3 +$2 (+186%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Up 41¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+144%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Up 70¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+43%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Up 79¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+27%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Up 91¢ 98¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+8%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 39¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Up 35¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 23¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 57¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Down 57¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Up 47¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Down $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 66¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Down 21¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 63¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +137%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -48%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +176%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 96% −$16
other 4% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-51.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 15 -46.7% -51.8% 27% 27% -69.9%
≤30d 15 -46.7% -51.8% 27% 27% -69.9%
≤90d 15 -46.7% -51.8% 27% 27% -69.9%
all 15 -46.7% -51.8% 27% 27% -69.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover17.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -51.8% 27% -69.9%
10% -56.4% 27% -72.8%
15% -60.6% 20% -75.4%
20% -64.5% 13% -77.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $10.08 · official $9.89 (match) · 17 history records