Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:26:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1A
0x1a90…13fc
crypto · 1298 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$785 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$785 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$6
Realized−$785
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses587 / 710
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1297 / 1298
History coverage17d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day144.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit84%
Chart Positions 1 History 1297 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$27
7 days−$114
14 days−$735
30 days−$785
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down on June 14? Down 64¢ 62¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-4%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 6, 11PM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 8PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +46%
Solana Up or Down on June 13? Jun 13 $13 +$17 +132%
BNB Up or Down on June 13? Jun 13 $37 −$7 -19%
Ethereum Up or Down on June 13? Jun 13 $32 $0 -1%
Dogecoin Up or Down on June 13? Jun 13 $9 +$21 +236%
XRP Up or Down on June 13? Jun 13 $33 −$2 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13? Jun 13 $26 +$4 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11AM ET Jun 13 $18 +$9 +47%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -94%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 11AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$8 -99%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 10AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$13 +170%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 9AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$14 -96%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 8AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +101%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$6 +124%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$4 -72%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$5 +96%
Ethereum Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $45 +$13 +29%
BNB Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $16 −$6 -38%
Dogecoin Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $18 +$2 +11%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +119%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +88%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -79%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$2 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +73%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +31%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +50%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +42%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -95%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 8PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -96%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 8PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 11 $8 +$2 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 11 $7 −$7 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 11 $7 +$3 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6PM ET Jun 11 $28 −$28 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +38%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 11 $6 +$4 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3PM ET Jun 11 $39 +$11 +29%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3PM ET Jun 11 $9 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 11 $9 +$1 +13%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 89% −$527
other 11% −$258
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down on June 14? BUY Down 64¢ $7 51m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 11AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $5 2h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 10AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $4 2h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 10AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $4 2h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 9AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $4 5h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 8AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $3 5h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET SELL Down 37¢ $1 5h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 5h
XRP Up or Down on June 13? BUY Up 84¢ $9 7h
XRP Up or Down on June 13? BUY Up 84¢ $9 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13? BUY Down 32¢ $3 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13? BUY Down 31¢ $3 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13? BUY Down 31¢ $3 9h
XRP Up or Down on June 13? BUY Down 25¢ $3 9h
XRP Up or Down on June 13? BUY Down 26¢ $3 9h
XRP Up or Down on June 13? BUY Down 26¢ $3 9h
XRP Up or Down on June 13? BUY Up 68¢ $7 10h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $1 12h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $8 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-22.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 462 -4.6% -13.7% 50% 45% -11.9%
≤30d 1297 -14.5% -22.6% 45% 40% -15.4%
≤90d 1297 -14.5% -22.6% 45% 40% -15.4%
all 1297 -14.5% -22.6% 45% 40% -15.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover144.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -22.6% 40% -15.4%
10% ← realistic here -30.0% 32% -23.5%
15% -36.8% 24% -30.9%
20% -43.0% 19% -37.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6.15 · official $6.15 (match) · 3500 history records