trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 1 | -100.0% | -100.0% | 0% | 0% | -100.0% |
| ≤90d | 4 | -51.8% | -56.4% | 25% | 25% | -78.2% |
| all | 29 | -31.0% | -37.6% | 31% | 31% | -43.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -37.6% | 31% | -43.6% |
| 10% | -43.6% | 31% | -49.0% |
| 15% | -49.0% | 28% | -53.9% |
| 20% | -54.0% | 24% | -58.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 3¢ | 3¢ | $40 | $32 | −$8 (-20%) |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 79¢ | 92¢ | $15 | $18 | +$3 (+17%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 13¢ | 18¢ | $5 | $7 | +$2 (+40%) |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16? | Yes | 13¢ | 14¢ | $5 | $5 | +$0 (+4%) |
| Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? | Yes | 22¢ | 22¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 10¢ | 10¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-5%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 18¢ | 14¢ | $5 | $4 | −$1 (-23%) |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 14¢ | 11¢ | $5 | $4 | −$1 (-23%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? | May 30 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will TISZA win 54%+ of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian P | Apr 12 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12? | Apr 12 | $2 | +$2 | +93% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? | Apr 02 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Mar 09 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Seahawks vs. Patriots | Feb 09 | $23 | −$23 | -100% |
| Will the Denver Broncos win the Super Bowl? | Jan 25 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Bad Bunny say "Fuck ICE" at the Big Game? | Jan 25 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Bills vs. Broncos | Jan 18 | $10 | +$9 | +86% |
| Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026? | Jan 18 | $5 | +$6 | +113% |
| 49ers vs. Seahawks | Jan 18 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Will Manchester City FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw? | Jan 07 | $3 | +$6 | +196% |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-04? | Jan 04 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Manchester City win on 2025-12-02? | Dec 21 | $5 | +$3 | +70% |
| Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026? | Nov 16 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026? | Nov 16 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026? | Nov 16 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-09? | Nov 09 | $7 | −$7 | -100% |
| Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. UCLA | Nov 09 | $11 | −$6 | -58% |
| Wake Forest vs. Virginia | Nov 09 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Raiders vs. Broncos | Nov 07 | $14 | −$1 | -5% |
| Spurs vs. Lakers | Nov 06 | $6 | +$3 | +47% |
| Sharks vs. Kraken | Nov 06 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Broncos vs. Texans | Nov 02 | $4 | +$3 | +74% |
| Will Bournemouth win on 2025-11-02? | Nov 02 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series? | Nov 02 | $8 | +$23 | +293% |
| Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Nov 01 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-01? | Nov 01 | $5 | +$1 | +25% |
| Colorado vs. Utah | Oct 26 | $18 | −$18 | -100% |