Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:46:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1A
0x1a88…0296
sports · 51 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$71 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$10 · open −$81
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$130
Realized+$10
Unrealized−$81
Win rate (resolved)26%
Wins / losses11 / 32
Est. fees paid−$11
Open positions8
Markets (closed)43 / 51
History coverage10d
Avg bet$15
Trades / day9.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit67%
Chart Positions 8 History 43 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$176
7 days+$150
14 days+$10
30 days+$10
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 3 Winner Team Liquid 54¢ 100¢ $35 $64 +$29 (+84%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 63¢ 64¢ $35 $36 +$1 (+2%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 47¢ 24¢ $25 $13 −$12 (-48%)
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? Yes 11¢ 12¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+5%)
Raphinha: 1+ goals Yes 23¢ 25¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+9%)
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Cloud9 44¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-99%)
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 3 Winner Cloud9 12¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-96%)
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner Cloud9 25¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner Cloud9 9¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-99%)
Spread: Mexico (-2.5) Mexico 9¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-03? Yes 49¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Cloud9 19¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Yes 21¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-06-05? Yes 18¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-03? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will San Marino vs. Bangladesh end in a draw? Yes 31¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Bulgaria win on 2026-06-05? Yes 40¢ 0¢ $44 $0 −$44 (-100%)
Will Russia vs. Burkina Faso end in a draw? Yes 23¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Spread: Portugal (-1.5) Portugal 54¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
England vs. New Zealand: Draw at halftime? Yes 55¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Yes 15¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Gibraltar vs. Cayman Islands end in a draw? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 2 Czechia? Yes 12¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Brazil vs. Egypt end in a draw? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Spread: Portugal (-2.5) Portugal 27¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $1 +$32 +3139%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $22 +$21 +94%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $30 +$33 +109%
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $10 +$28 +276%
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $20 +$30 +148%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $7 −$7 -98%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $32 +$55 +171%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 2 Czechia? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5) Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Spread: Mexico (-2.5) Jun 11 $2 −$2 -97%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $15 +$9 +56%
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 11 $6 −$6 -98%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Jun 07 $14 −$13 -98%
Spread: Denmark (-1.5) Jun 07 $19 −$10 -54%
Spread: Denmark (-2.5) Jun 07 $5 −$1 -18%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $16 +$9 +52%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $10 −$10 -98%
Will Brazil vs. Egypt end in a draw? Jun 06 $20 −$20 -98%
England vs. New Zealand: Draw at halftime? Jun 06 $20 −$20 -99%
Spread: Portugal (-2.5) Jun 06 $5 −$5 -98%
Spread: Portugal (-1.5) Jun 06 $41 −$40 -99%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 06 $20 +$26 +129%
Will Gibraltar vs. Cayman Islands end in a draw? Jun 06 $5 −$5 -98%
Will Gibraltar win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $10 $0 -4%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 06 $10 −$5 -46%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-05? Jun 06 $15 −$15 -98%
Will Canada vs. Republic of Ireland end in a draw? Jun 06 $54 +$46 +84%
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-06-05? Jun 06 $4 −$4 -98%
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 05 $5 −$1 -11%
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 05 $5 $0 -8%
Will Bulgaria win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $45 −$44 -98%
Will Russia vs. Burkina Faso end in a draw? Jun 05 $5 −$5 -98%
Will Hungary vs. Finland end in a draw? Jun 05 $5 −$5 -98%
Will San Marino vs. Bangladesh end in a draw? Jun 05 $5 −$5 -98%
Will Sweden vs. Greece end in a draw? Jun 04 $5 +$36 +716%
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-03? Jun 03 $36 −$35 -98%
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) Jun 03 $5 −$5 -98%
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-03? Jun 03 $30 −$30 -99%
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-03? Jun 03 $5 −$5 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 60% −$2
other 34% −$33
crypto 5% −$35
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 47¢ $25 1m
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 3 Winner BUY Cloud9 6¢ $1 18m
Raphinha: 1+ goals BUY Yes 23¢ $5 19m
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 3 Winner BUY Cloud9 18¢ $3 21m
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? BUY Yes 11¢ $10 34m
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 3 Winner BUY Team Liquid 54¢ $10 1h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 3 Winner BUY Team Liquid 54¢ $25 1h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner BUY Cloud9 8¢ $3 1h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner BUY Cloud9 26¢ $5 1h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner BUY Cloud9 28¢ $5 1h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner BUY Cloud9 41¢ $15 1h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs BUY Cloud9 32¢ $10 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 9¢ $2 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 3¢ $1 1h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner BUY Cloud9 3¢ $1 2h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner BUY Cloud9 3¢ $1 2h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner BUY Cloud9 11¢ $2 2h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner BUY Cloud9 32¢ $5 2h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs BUY Cloud9 54¢ $20 2h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 46¢ $20 3h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $35 19h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $64 19h
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 100¢ $38 19h
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 1.5 BUY Over 9¢ $5 19h
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 26¢ $10 20h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $30 24h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? SELL Yes 84¢ $51 25h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 9¢ $2 26h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 33¢ $5 26h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 14¢ $2 26h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +26%
net ROI/market (all)+13.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 21 +82.6% +65.2% 38% 38% +45.5%
≤30d 43 +25.5% +13.5% 26% 26% -9.9%
≤90d 43 +25.5% +13.5% 26% 26% -9.9%
all 43 +25.5% +13.5% 26% 26% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +13.5% 26% -9.9%
10% +2.7% 26% -18.5%
15% -7.3% 26% -26.4%
20% -16.3% 26% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $129.86 · official $129.86 (match) · 95 history records