Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T11:49:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1A
0x1a7d…8d83
crypto · 927 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$119 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$150 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized−$150
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses491 / 435
Open positions1
Markets (closed)926 / 927
History coverage75d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day39.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 926 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$0
14 days−$46
30 days−$100
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Down 91¢ 52¢ $5 $3 −$2 (-43%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$2 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $14 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$1 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 07 $4 −$2 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 07 $6 −$2 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 07 $4 −$1 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 07 $2 −$1 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 07 $3 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 07 $4 −$1 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 07 $4 −$1 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 07 $5 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 07 $3 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 07 $3 −$1 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 06 $6 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 06 $3 +$2 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 06 $3 −$1 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 06 $3 −$1 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 06 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 06 $4 −$1 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 06 $4 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 06 $4 −$1 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 06 $7 −$1 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 06 $2 −$1 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 06 $4 −$1 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 06 $1 +$1 +190%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 06 $4 −$1 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 06 $4 −$2 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 06 $4 −$1 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 06 $4 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 06 $3 −$1 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 06 $4 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 06 $3 −$1 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 06 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 06 $4 +$2 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 06 $4 +$1 +39%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$152
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET SELL Up 39¢ $2 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET SELL Down 57¢ $3 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET SELL Down 31¢ $2 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $4 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $4 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $4 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET SELL Down 35¢ $2 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $4 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $4 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $4 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET SELL Up 42¢ $2 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $4 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET SELL Down 74¢ $4 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $5 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $4 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET SELL Down 39¢ $2 7d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-12.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 18 +0.4% -9.1% 67% 44% -9.8%
≤30d 509 -2.4% -11.7% 55% 41% -12.9%
≤90d 926 -2.8% -12.1% 53% 40% -12.4%
all 926 -2.8% -12.1% 53% 40% -12.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover39.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.1% 40% -12.4%
10% ← realistic here -20.5% 27% -20.7%
15% -28.2% 17% -28.4%
20% -35.2% 9% -35.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.85 · official $4.84 · 3500 history records