trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 14? | No | 78¢ | 76¢ | $2 | $2 | −$0 (-3%) |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 14? | Yes | 80¢ | 74¢ | $2 | $2 | −$0 (-7%) |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 14? | Yes | 36¢ | 18¢ | $2 | $1 | −$1 (-49%) |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 14? | No | 78¢ | 76¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-3%) |
| Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 13? | No | 89¢ | 86¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-4%) |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 10? | No | 76¢ | 0¢ | $3 | $0 | −$3 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 14? | Jun 13 | $5 | $0 | +6% |
| Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on June 14? | Jun 13 | $1 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 13? | Jun 13 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? | Jun 13 | $3 | $0 | -10% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 13? | Jun 13 | $43 | −$33 | -77% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 13? | Jun 13 | $74 | −$64 | -87% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 12? | Jun 12 | $102 | +$49 | +48% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 11? | Jun 11 | $7 | +$2 | +22% |
| Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on June 11? | Jun 11 | $2 | +$1 | +40% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 11? | Jun 11 | $1 | $0 | +43% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 11? | Jun 11 | $4 | −$2 | -56% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 10? | Jun 10 | $2 | +$1 | +37% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 10? | Jun 10 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 13 | -10.2% | -18.7% | 54% | 38% | -27.6% |
| ≤30d | 13 | -10.2% | -18.7% | 54% | 38% | -27.6% |
| ≤90d | 13 | -10.2% | -18.7% | 54% | 38% | -27.6% |
| all | 13 | -10.2% | -18.7% | 54% | 38% | -27.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -18.7% | 38% | -27.6% |
| 10% | -26.5% | 38% | -34.5% |
| 15% | -33.6% | 31% | -40.9% |
| 20% | -40.1% | 0% | -46.7% |