Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:34:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1A
0x1a6f…8922
crypto · 403 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$42 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$42 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized−$42
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses208 / 195
Open positions0
Markets (closed)403 / 403
Avg bet$2
Trades / day21.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 403 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days−$0
14 days−$23
30 days−$27
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026? No 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will the UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council by April 30, 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Google reach $400 in April? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +13%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$34
other 1% −$4
world 0% −$3
tech 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET SELL Down 17¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET SELL Up 21¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Down 15¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET SELL Up 16¢ $0 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET SELL Up 17¢ $0 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET SELL Down 13¢ $0 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET SELL Down 27¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET SELL Up 28¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET SELL Up 50¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-19.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 65 -5.4% -14.4% 58% 34% -9.8%
≤30d 232 -12.4% -20.8% 50% 33% -14.9%
≤90d 403 -11.0% -19.5% 52% 33% -14.6%
all 403 -11.0% -19.5% 52% 33% -14.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover21.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.5% 33% -14.6%
10% ← realistic here -27.2% 21% -22.8%
15% -34.2% 10% -30.2%
20% -40.7% 5% -37.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1056 history records