Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:44:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1A
0x1a56…f475
crypto · 740 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$344 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$334 · open −$11
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$103
Realized−$334
Unrealized−$11
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses364 / 375
Open positions1
Markets (closed)739 / 740
History coverage3d
Avg bet$44
Trades / day832.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 739 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$107
7 days−$334
14 days−$334
30 days−$334
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Up 48¢ 48¢ $58 $57 −$1 (-2%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Down 65¢ 52¢ $56 $46 −$11 (-19%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $49 +$22 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $64 +$22 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $32 +$18 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $68 +$12 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $80 −$25 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $77 +$10 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 14 $42 +$17 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $50 +$38 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $71 −$9 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $47 −$17 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $18 +$9 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $42 +$16 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $83 −$23 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $69 +$45 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $45 −$3 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $37 +$48 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 14 $65 +$27 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $47 −$22 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $60 −$4 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $36 +$20 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $40 +$19 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $38 −$38 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$16 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $35 +$22 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $61 +$23 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $28 −$3 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $49 −$21 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$10 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $30 +$20 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $17 +$13 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $54 +$28 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $68 +$7 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $80 −$4 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $45 +$34 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $35 −$35 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$9 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $27 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $90 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $73 +$17 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $57 +$26 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $37 +$19 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $50 +$37 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $166 −$25 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $155 +$21 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $19 +$5 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $24 +$7 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $38 +$14 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$5 +25%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$344
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $22 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $19 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $17 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $13 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $16 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $14 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $20 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $13 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $8 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $15 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $13 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $20 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $23 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $20 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $16 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $16 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $18 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $13 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $20 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $16 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $7 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $7 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $20 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $12 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $8 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $6 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $21 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $22 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $20 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $19 33m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-12.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 739 -3.6% -12.7% 49% 39% -10.5%
≤30d 739 -3.6% -12.7% 49% 39% -10.5%
≤90d 739 -3.6% -12.7% 49% 39% -10.5%
all 739 -3.6% -12.7% 49% 39% -10.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover832.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.7% 39% -10.5%
10% ← realistic here -21.1% 33% -19.0%
15% -28.7% 26% -26.8%
20% -35.7% 20% -34.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $103.02 · official $100.96 · 3500 history records