Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T20:11:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1A
0x1a4d…9e6e
crypto · 1038 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$184 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$242 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$242
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses519 / 519
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1038 / 1038
History coverage21d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day76.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1038 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$8
7 days−$49
14 days−$94
30 days−$242
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$3 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +106%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$3 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$2 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$9 +150%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$5 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$5 +567%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$5 +1900%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$12 +790%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +22%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$242
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $0 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $4 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $3 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $0 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $0 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $0 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $0 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $0 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $4 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $0 38h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-14.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 290 -7.1% -15.9% 47% 46% -13.8%
≤30d 1038 -5.3% -14.3% 50% 49% -13.8%
≤90d 1038 -5.3% -14.3% 50% 49% -13.8%
all 1038 -5.3% -14.3% 50% 49% -13.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover76.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.3% 49% -13.8%
10% ← realistic here -22.5% 48% -22.0%
15% -30.0% 45% -29.6%
20% -36.9% 32% -36.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2174 history records