trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 10 | -16.0% | -24.0% | 40% | 30% | -15.1% |
| ≤30d | 10 | -16.0% | -24.0% | 40% | 30% | -15.1% |
| ≤90d | 11 | -0.9% | -10.3% | 45% | 36% | +14.1% |
| all | 15 | -27.3% | -34.2% | 33% | 27% | -17.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -34.2% | 27% | -17.7% |
| 10% | -40.5% | 27% | -25.6% |
| 15% | -46.3% | 27% | -32.8% |
| 20% | -51.6% | 13% | -39.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 36¢ | 36¢ | $108 | $110 | +$2 (+1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 25 | $205 | +$607 | +297% |
| Will Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? | Jun 25 | $103 | −$99 | -96% |
| Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 2.5 | Jun 25 | $712 | −$385 | -54% |
| Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? | Jun 25 | $103 | −$100 | -98% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 25 | $817 | −$800 | -98% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 25 | $205 | −$200 | -98% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 24 | $813 | +$294 | +36% |
| Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 0.5 | Jun 24 | $103 | −$100 | -97% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 24 | $1,011 | +$495 | +49% |
| Switzerland vs. Canada: 1st Half O/U 0.5 | Jun 24 | $264 | +$23 | +9% |
| Cavaliers vs. Magic | Apr 02 | $1,120 | +$1,680 | +150% |
| Raptors vs. Pelicans | Mar 11 | $385 | −$385 | -100% |
| Grizzlies vs. Nets | Mar 09 | $1,242 | −$1,242 | -100% |
| Jazz vs. Bucks | Mar 07 | $88 | −$88 | -100% |
| Clippers vs. Rockets | Feb 11 | $380 | −$380 | -100% |